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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sun vs Sawangkaew 2:0: result and our tips

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Xinran SunWTA #405Elo 1585hard 1597
2:0final6:3 6:4
Mananchaya SawangkaewWTA #80Elo 1784hard 1752

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Xinran Sun47%
Mananchaya Sawangkaew53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 X. Sun30%
2:1 X. Sun19%
2:1 M. Sawangkaew19%
2:0 M. Sawangkaew32%

First set

Xinran Sun49%
Mananchaya Sawangkaew51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,362 matches

Games handicap

M. Sawangkaew −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Xinran SunMananchaya Sawangkaew
3Aces3
4Double faults6
53%First serves in70%
65%First-serve points won55%
59%Second-serve points won32%
5/10Break points converted3/4
7/10Service games held4/9
62%Service points won48%
52%Return points won38%
69Total points won52

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

X. SunTourM. Sawangkaew
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won44%44%45%
Service games held62%63%67%
Breaks of serve37%37%38%
Aces per service game0.180.20
Double faults per game0.260.47
Sets with a tie-break0%9%
Tie-breaks won0/05/9
Wins in straight sets33%69%
Matches in the sample546

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Xinran Sun

  • 05/10/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R325:7 1:6
  • 03/10/26WCristina Bucsa#42WTA Beijing · R646:4 7:5
  • 01/10/26WEva Lys#160WTA Beijing · R1286:1 3:0
  • 07/05/26LMia Ristic#182WTA 125 Istanbul · R162:6 1:6
  • 05/05/26WLina Gjorcheska#370WTA 125 Istanbul · R326:4 4:6 6:4

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Elo over the last year

Xinran SunMananchaya Sawangkaew

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

X. SunM. Sawangkaew
Hard court2–167%17–1357%
Clay1–150%0–0
Grass0–012–475%

Head to head

They have not met yet.