WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Timofeeva vs Kostovic 2:0: result and our tips

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Maria TimofeevaWTA #72Elo 1877hard 1841
2:0final6:4 6:1
Teodora KostovicWTA #143Elo 1691hard 1683

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: TimofeevaWon63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Timofeeva won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Timofeeva 11 of 20, Kostovic 11 of 20 (tour average 44%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maria Timofeeva64%
Teodora Kostovic36%

Elo: M. Timofeeva 71% · T. Kostovic 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Timofeeva41%
2:1 M. Timofeeva22%
2:1 T. Kostovic16%
2:0 T. Kostovic22%

First set

Maria Timofeeva60%
Teodora Kostovic41%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,321 matches

Games handicap

Maria Timofeeva −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maria TimofeevaTeodora Kostovic
2Aces2
4Double faults4
66%First serves in57%
64%First-serve points won53%
53%Second-serve points won29%
6/9Break points converted2/5
6/8Service games held3/9
60%Service points won43%
57%Return points won40%
62Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. TimofeevaTourT. Kostovic
Service points won56%56%59%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held66%63%70%
Breaks of serve44%37%35%
Aces per service game0.190.29
Double faults per game0.270.29
Sets with a tie-break9%10%
Tie-breaks won5/105/11
Wins in straight sets81%73%
Matches in the sample4947

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maria Timofeeva

Teodora Kostovic

Elo over the last year

Maria TimofeevaTeodora Kostovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. TimofeevaT. Kostovic
Hard court15–1158%17–1259%
Clay13–476%6–843%
Grass4–267%3–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Maria Timofeeva

First match in this tournament.

Teodora Kostovic