WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Zakharova vs Kostovic 0:2: result and our tips

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Anastasia ZakharovaWTA #105Elo 1735hard 1722
0:2final3:6 2:6
Teodora KostovicWTA #143Elo 1664hard 1651

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 18 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Zakharova 19 of 20, Kostovic 13 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won57%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zakharova: 8 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 8 matches in a row under 20.5 games; Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Zakharova 17 of 20, Kostovic 11 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anastasia Zakharova58%
Teodora Kostovic42%

Elo: A. Zakharova 60% · T. Kostovic 40%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zakharova35%
2:1 A. Zakharova21%
2:1 T. Kostovic17%
2:0 T. Kostovic27%

First set

Anastasia Zakharova54%
Teodora Kostovic46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,461 matches

Games handicap

Anastasia Zakharova −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anastasia ZakharovaTeodora Kostovic
1Aces5
2Double faults9
74%First serves in63%
51%First-serve points won82%
53%Second-serve points won36%
1/6Break points converted4/12
4/8Service games held8/9
52%Service points won65%
35%Return points won49%
55Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZakharovaTourT. Kostovic
Service points won56%56%59%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held64%63%70%
Breaks of serve35%37%34%
Aces per service game0.090.28
Double faults per game0.280.28
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won12/175/11
Wins in straight sets67%72%
Matches in the sample6446

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anastasia Zakharova

Teodora Kostovic

Elo over the last year

Anastasia ZakharovaTeodora Kostovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZakharovaT. Kostovic
Hard court26–2155%16–1257%
Clay4–736%6–843%
Grass3–350%3–175%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anastasia Zakharova

Teodora Kostovic