WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Bouzková vs Zakharova 2:0: result and our tips

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Marie BouzkováWTA #26Elo 1919hard 1871
2:0final7:5 6:2
Anastasia ZakharovaWTA #111Elo 1739hard 1728

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 16 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Bouzkova 14 of 20, Zakharova 18 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 21.5Won60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zakharova: 6 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Marie Bouzková81%
Anastasia Zakharova19%

Elo: M. Bouzková 70% · A. Zakharova 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Bouzková59%
2:1 M. Bouzková22%
2:1 A. Zakharova10%
2:0 A. Zakharova10%

First set

Marie Bouzková74%
Anastasia Zakharova26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%82%
17.568%32%72%
18.559%41%64%
19.551%49%56%
20.544%56%49%
21.540%60%44%
22.535%65%38%

Sample: 1,381 matches

Games handicap

Marie Bouzková −5.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 19.5in · 20 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Marie BouzkováAnastasia Zakharova
1Aces1
2Double faults1
73%First serves in64%
67%First-serve points won45%
41%Second-serve points won52%
6/13Break points converted3/5
7/10Service games held4/10
60%Service points won47%
53%Return points won40%
77Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. BouzkováTourA. Zakharova
Service points won59%56%56%
Return points won45%44%44%
Service games held70%63%63%
Breaks of serve38%37%35%
Aces per service game0.170.09
Double faults per game0.320.29
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won8/1712/17
Wins in straight sets73%66%
Matches in the sample5463

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Marie Bouzková

Anastasia Zakharova

Elo over the last year

Marie BouzkováAnastasia Zakharova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. BouzkováA. Zakharova
Hard court15–1550%25–2154%
Clay9–469%4–736%
Grass9–282%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Marie Bouzková

Anastasia Zakharova

See also