WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Rakhimova vs Bouzková 0:2: result and our tips

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Kamilla RakhimovaWTA #67Elo 1808hard 1797
0:2finalrebuilt4:6 4:6
Marie BouzkováWTA #26Elo 1911hard 1859

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Bouzkova: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kamilla Rakhimova28%
Marie Bouzková72%

Elo: K. Rakhimova 41% · M. Bouzková 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Rakhimova16%
2:1 K. Rakhimova14%
2:1 M. Bouzková21%
2:0 M. Bouzková49%

First set

Kamilla Rakhimova33%
Marie Bouzková67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%72%
18.567%33%64%
19.559%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,849 matches

Games handicap

Marie Bouzková −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

Tip worked out after the fact from pre-match data — the board was not published yet at the time.

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Kamilla RakhimovaMarie Bouzková
0Aces5
3Double faults3
50%First serves in70%
43%First-serve points won61%
46%Second-serve points won55%
4/10Break points converted6/8
4/10Service games held6/10
44%Service points won59%
41%Return points won56%
58Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. RakhimovaTourM. Bouzková
Service points won55%56%59%
Return points won45%44%45%
Service games held64%63%70%
Breaks of serve39%37%37%
Aces per service game0.160.16
Double faults per game0.440.32
Sets with a tie-break14%15%
Tie-breaks won8/218/17
Wins in straight sets53%72%
Matches in the sample6253

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kamilla Rakhimova

Marie Bouzková

Elo over the last year

Kamilla RakhimovaMarie Bouzková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. RakhimovaM. Bouzková
Hard court27–2156%14–1548%
Clay2–529%9–469%
Grass3–443%9–282%

Head to head

K. Rakhimova 0–2 M. Bouzková

  • 01/11/24Winner: Marie Bouzková2:6 2:6
  • 06/04/24Winner: Marie Bouzková4:6 6:7

Road through the tournament

Kamilla Rakhimova

Marie Bouzková

First match in this tournament.