WTA NingboWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Yastremska vs Rakhimova 0:2: result and our tips

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Dayana YastremskaWTA #103Elo 1805hard 1768
0:2final2:6 4:6
Kamilla RakhimovaWTA #67Elo 1780hard 1768

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dayana Yastremska51%
Kamilla Rakhimova49%

Elo: D. Yastremska 50% · K. Rakhimova 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yastremska31%
2:1 D. Yastremska19%
2:1 K. Rakhimova19%
2:0 K. Rakhimova31%

First set

Dayana Yastremska50%
Kamilla Rakhimova50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,259 matches

Games handicap

Dayana Yastremska −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dayana YastremskaKamilla Rakhimova
5Aces2
7Double faults1
55%First serves in70%
57%First-serve points won60%
48%Second-serve points won73%
2/5Break points converted5/9
4/9Service games held7/9
53%Service points won64%
36%Return points won47%
45Total points won56

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YastremskaTourK. Rakhimova
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held61%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%38%
Aces per service game0.180.16
Double faults per game0.390.44
Sets with a tie-break15%14%
Tie-breaks won10/157/20
Wins in straight sets68%53%
Matches in the sample4260

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dayana Yastremska

Kamilla Rakhimova

Elo over the last year

Dayana YastremskaKamilla Rakhimova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YastremskaK. Rakhimova
Hard court9–1538%25–2154%
Clay7–558%2–529%
Grass3–350%3–443%

Head to head

They have not met yet.