WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Jovic vs Yastremska: prediction and tips

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Iva JovicWTA #11Elo 2054hard 2015
-:-
Dayana YastremskaWTA #103Elo 1810hard 1774

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Jovic77%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jovic won 8 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Iva Jovic77%
Dayana Yastremska23%

Elo: I. Jovic 80% · D. Yastremska 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Jovic55%
2:1 I. Jovic22%
2:1 D. Yastremska12%
2:0 D. Yastremska12%

First set

Iva Jovic71%
Dayana Yastremska29%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%29%72%
18.563%37%63%
19.555%45%56%
20.548%52%49%
21.543%57%44%
22.537%63%38%
23.533%67%34%

Sample: 1,568 matches

Games handicap

Iva Jovic −4.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes21%

tour average 22%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. JovicTourD. Yastremska
Service points won59%56%55%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held70%63%62%
Breaks of serve41%37%35%
Aces per service game0.210.19
Double faults per game0.220.42
Sets with a tie-break10%17%
Tie-breaks won8/1412/17
Wins in straight sets77%70%
Matches in the sample6243

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Iva Jovic

Dayana Yastremska

Elo over the last year

Iva JovicDayana Yastremska

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. JovicD. Yastremska
Hard court29–1271%10–1540%
Clay8–562%7–558%
Grass6–275%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Iva Jovic

First match in this tournament.

Dayana Yastremska