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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Liu vs Prozorova 2:0: result and our tips

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Claire LiuWTA #102Elo 1750hard 1726
2:0final6:2 6:4
Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #124Elo 1784hard 1773

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Liu: 4 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Liu 3 of 20, Prozorova 13 of 20 (tour average 28%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Claire Liu43%
Tatiana Prozorova57%

Elo: C. Liu 43% · T. Prozorova 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Liu28%
2:1 C. Liu18%
2:1 T. Prozorova20%
2:0 T. Prozorova34%

First set

Claire Liu47%
Tatiana Prozorova53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,486 matches

Games handicap

T. Prozorova −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Claire LiuTatiana Prozorova
6Aces2
0Double faults2
82%First serves in69%
73%First-serve points won64%
60%Second-serve points won30%
4/11Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held5/9
70%Service points won54%
46%Return points won30%
68Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. LiuTourT. Prozorova
Service points won58%56%60%
Return points won46%44%46%
Service games held69%63%68%
Breaks of serve40%37%42%
Aces per service game0.290.20
Double faults per game0.260.22
Sets with a tie-break10%6%
Tie-breaks won3/102/6
Wins in straight sets70%62%
Matches in the sample4540

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Claire Liu

Tatiana Prozorova

Elo over the last year

Claire LiuTatiana Prozorova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. LiuT. Prozorova
Hard court15–1158%22–1069%
Clay7–558%1–233%
Grass5–271%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Claire Liu

First match in this tournament.

Tatiana Prozorova