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WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Prozorova vs Kinoshita 2:0: result and our tips

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Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #124Elo 1771hard 1759
2:0final6:1 6:1
Hayu KinoshitaWTA #220Elo 1403hard 1395

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 11 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 11 matches in a row over 22.5 games; Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Prozorova 14 of 20, Kinoshita 3 of 15 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tatiana Prozorova85%
Hayu Kinoshita16%

Elo: T. Prozorova 89% · H. Kinoshita 11%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Prozorova64%
2:1 T. Prozorova21%
2:1 H. Kinoshita7%
2:0 H. Kinoshita7%

First set

Tatiana Prozorova78%
Hayu Kinoshita22%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.575%25%82%
17.565%35%72%
18.555%45%64%
19.547%53%56%
20.540%61%49%
21.536%64%44%
22.531%69%38%

Sample: 1,166 matches

Games handicap

T. Prozorova −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tatiana ProzorovaHayu Kinoshita
1Aces0
1Double faults5
62%First serves in59%
86%First-serve points won50%
77%Second-serve points won18%
5/8Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held2/7
82%Service points won37%
63%Return points won18%
54Total points won21

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ProzorovaTourH. Kinoshita
Service points won59%56%54%
Return points won45%44%43%
Service games held67%63%59%
Breaks of serve41%37%34%
Aces per service game0.200.16
Double faults per game0.220.30
Sets with a tie-break7%3%
Tie-breaks won2/60/1
Wins in straight sets58%80%
Matches in the sample3815

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tatiana Prozorova

Hayu Kinoshita

Elo over the last year

Tatiana ProzorovaHayu Kinoshita

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ProzorovaH. Kinoshita
Hard court20–1067%4–833%
Clay1–233%0–0
Grass3–260%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Upcoming matches

See also