Skip to content
WTA Hong KongWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Jones vs Shubladze 0:2: result and our tips

·

Emerson JonesWTA #127Elo 1663hard 1658
0:2final4:6 2:6
Alexandra ShubladzeWTA #133Elo 1692hard 1684

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Jones 13 of 20, Shubladze 10 of 14 (tour average 56%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Lost43%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Jones 11 of 20, Shubladze 7 of 14 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Emerson Jones45%
Alexandra Shubladze55%

Elo: E. Jones 46% · A. Shubladze 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Jones29%
2:1 E. Jones18%
2:1 A. Shubladze20%
2:0 A. Shubladze33%

First set

Emerson Jones48%
Alexandra Shubladze52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,421 matches

Games handicap

A. Shubladze −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Emerson JonesAlexandra Shubladze
2Aces3
1Double faults3
69%First serves in74%
59%First-serve points won78%
40%Second-serve points won54%
1/2Break points converted4/6
5/9Service games held8/9
53%Service points won71%
29%Return points won47%
40Total points won58

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. JonesTourA. Shubladze
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won44%44%48%
Service games held64%63%66%
Breaks of serve35%37%46%
Aces per service game0.150.09
Double faults per game0.400.39
Sets with a tie-break13%22%
Tie-breaks won7/111/7
Wins in straight sets59%78%
Matches in the sample3614

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Emerson Jones

Alexandra Shubladze

Elo over the last year

Emerson JonesAlexandra Shubladze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. JonesA. Shubladze
Hard court16–1552%9–469%
Clay0–10%0–0
Grass1–325%0–10%

Head to head

E. Jones 0–1 A. Shubladze

  • 03/10/26Winner: A. Shubladze5:7 4:6

Road through the tournament

Emerson Jones

Alexandra Shubladze