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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Yastremska vs Jones 2:0: result and our tips

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Dayana YastremskaWTA #97Elo 1794hard 1759
2:0final6:2 6:4
Emerson JonesWTA #127Elo 1656hard 1654

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dayana Yastremska61%
Emerson Jones39%

Elo: D. Yastremska 65% · E. Jones 35%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yastremska37%
2:1 D. Yastremska22%
2:1 E. Jones17%
2:0 E. Jones25%

First set

Dayana Yastremska56%
Emerson Jones44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,435 matches

Games handicap

D. Yastremska −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dayana YastremskaEmerson Jones
5Aces3
6Double faults5
62%First serves in60%
68%First-serve points won63%
59%Second-serve points won48%
3/8Break points converted0/5
9/9Service games held6/9
65%Service points won57%
43%Return points won35%
77Total points won66

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YastremskaTourE. Jones
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won43%44%44%
Service games held61%63%63%
Breaks of serve35%37%36%
Aces per service game0.190.15
Double faults per game0.410.40
Sets with a tie-break17%14%
Tie-breaks won12/177/11
Wins in straight sets65%56%
Matches in the sample4334

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dayana Yastremska

Emerson Jones

Elo over the last year

Dayana YastremskaEmerson Jones

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YastremskaE. Jones
Hard court10–1540%15–1452%
Clay7–558%0–10%
Grass3–350%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dayana Yastremska

Emerson Jones