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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Yastremska vs You 2:1: result and our tips

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Dayana YastremskaWTA #97Elo 1791hard 1754
2:1final7:6(4) 4:6 7:6(3)
Xiaodi YouWTA #208Elo 1435hard 1454

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dayana Yastremska84%
Xiaodi You16%

Elo: D. Yastremska 85% · X. You 15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yastremska63%
2:1 D. Yastremska21%
2:1 X. You8%
2:0 X. You8%

First set

Dayana Yastremska77%
Xiaodi You23%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.576%24%82%
17.565%35%72%
18.556%44%64%
19.548%53%56%
20.540%60%49%
21.537%63%44%
22.532%68%38%

Sample: 1,190 matches

Games handicap

D. Yastremska −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 36 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Dayana YastremskaXiaodi You
4Aces7
10Double faults16
58%First serves in50%
53%First-serve points won63%
48%Second-serve points won39%
8/20Break points converted9/22
8/17Service games held9/17
50%Service points won51%
49%Return points won50%
136Total points won138

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YastremskaTourX. You
Service points won55%56%54%
Return points won43%44%45%
Service games held62%63%59%
Breaks of serve35%37%37%
Aces per service game0.190.24
Double faults per game0.400.41
Sets with a tie-break15%11%
Tie-breaks won10/153/6
Wins in straight sets68%89%
Matches in the sample4224

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dayana Yastremska

Xiaodi You

Elo over the last year

Dayana YastremskaXiaodi You

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YastremskaX. You
Hard court9–1538%9–950%
Clay7–558%0–50%
Grass3–350%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.