Jones vs Watson 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Jones 57% · H. Watson 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 76% | 24% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 67% | 33% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 34% |
Sample: 1,990 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Emerson Jones | Heather Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 4 |
| 0 | Double faults | 6 |
| 78% | First serves in | 56% |
| 65% | First-serve points won | 73% |
| 82% | Second-serve points won | 24% |
| 4/4 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 69% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 31% |
| 54 | Total points won | 36 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Jones | Tour | H. Watson | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 63% | 63% | 66% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.32 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.40 | 0.47 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 8% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/11 | 4/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 21 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Emerson Jones
- 25/10/26LDayana Yastremska#97WTA Guangzhou · Q22:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WHong Yi Cody Wong#681WTA Guangzhou · Q14:6 6:1 6:4
- 20/10/26LAnn Li#31WTA Osaka · R327:5 0:6 3:6
- 18/10/26WTaylah Preston#85WTA Osaka · Q26:0
- 17/10/26WHeather Watson#373WTA Osaka · Q16:3 6:3
- 08/10/26LZhuoxuan Bai#198WTA 125 Suzhou · R166:1 3:6 6:7
- 06/10/26WMai Hontama#163WTA 125 Suzhou · R326:4 6:0
- 03/10/26LAlexandra Shubladze#133WTA 125 Jingshan · SF5:7 4:6
- 02/10/26WKyoka Okamura#241WTA 125 Jingshan · QF7:6 7:6
- 30/09/26WChenting Zhu#553WTA 125 Jingshan · R166:1 6:4
Heather Watson
- 25/10/26LAlycia Parks#65WTA Tokyo · Q21:6 2:6
- 24/10/26WLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Tokyo · Q12:6 7:5 7:6
- 17/10/26LEmerson Jones#127WTA Osaka · Q13:6 3:6
- 28/08/26LHarriet Dart#115WTA US Open · Q36:2 4:6 1:6
- 26/08/26WAngela Fita Boluda#218WTA US Open · Q26:4 5:7 7:6
- 24/08/26WClaire Liu#109WTA US Open · Q14:6 6:2 6:4
- 01/08/26LAnna Blinkova#73WTA Toronto · Q12:6 5:7
- 26/07/26LJulieta Pareja#235WTA Washington · Q24:6 6:3 5:7
- 25/07/26WKamilla Rakhimova#66WTA Washington · R167:6 7:6
- 25/06/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA Wimbledon · Q36:3 2:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Jones | H. Watson | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1550% | 8–753% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 1–325% | 3–350% |
Head to head
E. Jones 1–0 H. Watson
- 17/10/26Winner: E. Jones6:3 6:3