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WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Watson vs Parks 0:2: result and our tips

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Heather WatsonWTA #373Elo 1620hard 1596
0:2final1:6 2:6
Alycia ParksWTA #65Elo 1648hard 1646

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Heather Watson48%
Alycia Parks52%

Elo: H. Watson 43% · A. Parks 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Watson30%
2:1 H. Watson19%
2:1 A. Parks19%
2:0 A. Parks32%

First set

Heather Watson49%
Alycia Parks51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,317 matches

Games handicap

A. Parks −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Heather WatsonAlycia Parks
0Aces5
2Double faults2
68%First serves in61%
45%First-serve points won77%
50%Second-serve points won71%
0/0Break points converted4/15
3/7Service games held8/8
47%Service points won74%
26%Return points won53%
40Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. WatsonTourA. Parks
Service points won57%56%57%
Return points won43%44%41%
Service games held67%63%67%
Breaks of serve33%37%30%
Aces per service game0.330.55
Double faults per game0.480.58
Sets with a tie-break8%9%
Tie-breaks won4/411/16
Wins in straight sets55%57%
Matches in the sample2072

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Heather Watson

Alycia Parks

Elo over the last year

Heather WatsonAlycia Parks

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. WatsonA. Parks
Hard court8–657%24–2549%
Clay0–010–856%
Grass3–350%1–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Heather Watson

Alycia Parks