WTA TokyoWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Shibahara vs Parks 1:2: result and our tips

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Ena ShibaharaWTA #492Elo 1507hard 1502
1:2final6:2 6:7(7) 6:7(5)
Alycia ParksWTA #64Elo 1639hard 1637

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shibahara: 6 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won36%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shibahara: 5 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ena Shibahara47%
Alycia Parks53%

Elo: E. Shibahara 32% · A. Parks 69%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Shibahara30%
2:1 E. Shibahara19%
2:1 A. Parks19%
2:0 A. Parks32%

First set

Ena Shibahara49%
Alycia Parks51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.549%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,322 matches

Games handicap

Alycia Parks −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 34 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Ena ShibaharaAlycia Parks
3Aces14
5Double faults9
66%First serves in67%
72%First-serve points won66%
57%Second-serve points won60%
4/7Break points converted2/8
14/16Service games held12/16
67%Service points won64%
36%Return points won33%
114Total points won108

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ShibaharaTourA. Parks
Service points won58%56%57%
Return points won40%44%41%
Service games held63%63%67%
Breaks of serve28%37%30%
Aces per service game0.230.54
Double faults per game0.340.58
Sets with a tie-break16%8%
Tie-breaks won2/39/14
Wins in straight sets100%59%
Matches in the sample771

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ena Shibahara

Alycia Parks

Elo over the last year

Ena ShibaharaAlycia Parks

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ShibaharaA. Parks
Hard court1–614%23–2548%
Clay0–010–856%
Grass0–01–420%

Head to head

They have not met yet.