Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Quarterfinalhard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying
Kaśnikowski vs Andrade: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Maks Kaśnikowski62%
Andres Andrade39%
Elo: M. Kaśnikowski 42% · A. Andrade 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski40%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski22%
2:1 A. Andrade16%
2:0 A. Andrade23%
First set
Maks Kaśnikowski58%
Andres Andrade42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 6,027 matches
Games handicap
M. Kaśnikowski −2.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Kaśnikowski | Tour | A. Andrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.26 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.12 | 0.34 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/22 | 10/16 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 70 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 05/11/26WMichael Antonius#619Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 1:6 7:5
- 04/11/26WLiam Draxl#168Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2
- 28/10/26LAidan Mayo#285Challenger Sioux Falls · R162:6 7:6 5:7
- 27/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:1 6:2
- 17/10/26LDamir Dzumhur#88Challenger Olbia · SF1:6 5:7
- 16/10/26WStefano Travaglia#159Challenger Olbia · QF6:2 7:5
- 14/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#166Challenger Olbia · R166:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WCezar Cretu#269Challenger Olbia · R326:2 6:1
- 06/10/26LPhilip Henning#236Challenger Villena · R326:7 1:6
- 12/09/26LJay Friend#252Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF6:7 4:6
Andres Andrade
- 05/11/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Charlottesville · R163:6 6:3 6:1
- 03/11/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Charlottesville · R326:1 4:6 6:4
- 27/10/26LMitchell Krueger#361Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 0:6
- 19/10/26LMax Alcala Gurri#130Challenger Lisbon · R324:6 2:6
- 03/10/26LDylan Dietrich#189Challenger Columbus · SF3:6 0:1
- 02/10/26WMees Rottgering#295Challenger Columbus · QF6:3 7:6
- 30/09/26WLuca Staeheli#449Challenger Columbus · R166:3 7:6
- 29/09/26WTrevor Svajda#481Challenger Columbus · R326:4 6:2
- 26/09/26LNishesh Basavareddy#128Challenger San Diego 2 · QF3:6 2:6
- 24/09/26WDarwin Blanch#139Challenger San Diego 2 · R163:6 6:3 7:5
Elo over the last year
Maks KaśnikowskiAndres Andrade
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Kaśnikowski | A. Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1763% | 29–1862% |
| Clay | 13–1154% | 10–856% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–20% |
Head to head
M. Kaśnikowski 2–0 A. Andrade
- 29/06/26Winner: M. Kaśnikowski7:6 6:1
- 19/01/26Winner: M. Kaśnikowski6:3 6:4
Road through the tournament
Maks Kaśnikowski
- 04/11/26WLiam Draxl#168Challenger Charlottesville · R326:3 6:2
- 05/11/26WMichael Antonius#619Challenger Charlottesville · R166:2 1:6 7:5
Andres Andrade
- 03/11/26WHarry Wendelken#213Challenger Charlottesville · R326:1 4:6 6:4
- 05/11/26WJames Kent Trotter#542Challenger Charlottesville · R163:6 6:3 6:1
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