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Challenger CharlottesvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Wendelken vs Andrade 1:2: result and our tips

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Harry WendelkenATP #213Elo 1675hard 1679
1:2final1:6 6:4 4:6
Andres AndradeATP #229Elo 1757hard 1757

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon72%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 72%

Wendelken: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 23.5Lost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andrade: 6 matches in a row under 23.5 games

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andrade: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
1st Set Winner: AndradeWon47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Wendelken lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Andrade won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harry Wendelken54%
Andres Andrade46%

Elo: H. Wendelken 39% · A. Andrade 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Wendelken35%
2:1 H. Wendelken20%
2:1 A. Andrade18%
2:0 A. Andrade27%

First set

Harry Wendelken54%
Andres Andrade46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.544%56%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,595 matches

Games handicap

H. Wendelken −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 27 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Harry WendelkenAndres Andrade
3Aces6
3Double faults4
48%First serves in61%
67%First-serve points won72%
49%Second-serve points won51%
2/8Break points converted4/8
9/13Service games held12/14
57%Service points won64%
36%Return points won43%
75Total points won89

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. WendelkenTourA. Andrade
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won40%38%41%
Service games held73%76%72%
Breaks of serve27%24%30%
Aces per service game0.330.25
Double faults per game0.260.34
Sets with a tie-break12%11%
Tie-breaks won8/1510/16
Wins in straight sets44%73%
Matches in the sample5165

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harry Wendelken

Andres Andrade

Elo over the last year

Harry WendelkenAndres Andrade

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. WendelkenA. Andrade
Hard court24–1660%27–1860%
Clay0–30%10–856%
Grass3–538%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.