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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Krueger vs Andrade 2:0: result and our tips

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Mitchell KruegerATP #351Elo 1635hard 1629
2:0final6:3 6:0
Andres AndradeATP #224Elo 1781hard 1785

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Krueger 15 of 20, Andrade 11 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: AndradeLost61%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andrade won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Krueger 12 of 20, Andrade 7 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mitchell Krueger39%
Andres Andrade61%

Elo: M. Krueger 29% · A. Andrade 71%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Krueger23%
2:1 M. Krueger16%
2:1 A. Andrade22%
2:0 A. Andrade40%

First set

Mitchell Krueger42%
Andres Andrade58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.558%42%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,919 matches

Games handicap

A. Andrade −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 15 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mitchell KruegerAndres Andrade
3Aces1
0Double faults2
62%First serves in52%
68%First-serve points won59%
84%Second-serve points won30%
4/7Break points converted0/2
8/8Service games held3/7
74%Service points won45%
55%Return points won26%
60Total points won32

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. KruegerTourA. Andrade
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held78%76%72%
Breaks of serve22%24%30%
Aces per service game0.320.25
Double faults per game0.180.33
Sets with a tie-break22%12%
Tie-breaks won7/2313/19
Wins in straight sets45%74%
Matches in the sample4468

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mitchell Krueger

  • 19/10/26LJenson Brooksby#94Challenger Fort Worth · R326:3 3:6 2:6
  • 03/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Columbus · SF2:6 2:6
  • 02/10/26WKeegan Smith#185Challenger Columbus · QF6:4 7:6
  • 01/10/26WStefan Kozlov#284Challenger Columbus · R166:2 3:6 6:3
  • 28/09/26WTyler Zink#442Challenger Columbus · R327:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 5:7 5:7
  • 18/09/26LMichael Zheng#101Challenger Tiburon · QF6:7 2:6
  • 17/09/26WRyan Seggerman#568Challenger Tiburon · R164:6 6:1 7:6
  • 15/09/26WKeegan Smith#185Challenger Tiburon · R327:6 6:7 6:4
  • 25/08/26LMario Gonzalez Fernandez#703Challenger Kingston 2 · R326:7 5:7

Andres Andrade

Elo over the last year

Mitchell KruegerAndres Andrade

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. KruegerA. Andrade
Hard court16–1847%27–1761%
Clay4–640%12–1055%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

M. Krueger 1–2 A. Andrade

  • 10/04/25Winner: A. Andrade5:7 4:6
  • 24/02/25Winner: M. Krueger6:4 3:6 6:1
  • 25/04/24Winner: A. Andrade3:6 6:7

See also