Challenger LimaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets
Rubini vs Roncadelli: prediction and tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alessandro Rubini3%
Franco Roncadelli97%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Rubini2%
2:1 A. Rubini2%
2:1 F. Roncadelli10%
2:0 F. Roncadelli87%
First set
Alessandro Rubini7%
Franco Roncadelli93%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes12%
no88%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 16.5 · 50%market (no margin): 52%
The 16.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 17.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | 87% | 13% | 98% |
| 14.5 | 77% | 23% | 96% |
| 15.5 | 63% | 37% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 50% | 50% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 38% | 62% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 32% | 68% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 25% | 75% | 59% |
Sample: 1,027 matches
Games handicap
F. Roncadelli −7.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes11%
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Rubini | Tour | F. Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | — | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | — | 38% | 44% |
| Service games held | — | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | — | 24% | 38% |
| Aces per service game | — | 0.08 | |
| Double faults per game | — | 0.12 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | — | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | — | 7/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | — | 62 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alessandro Rubini
- 25/10/26LLucio Ratti#372Challenger Guayaquil · Q13:6 4:6
- 02/11/25LMariano KestelboimChallenger Lima 3 · Q10:6 6:7
- 28/10/25LRoman Andres Burruchaga#79Challenger Lima 2 · R320:6 3:6
- 22/06/25LTomas Farjat#761Challenger Lima · Q13:6 2:6
Franco Roncadelli
- 09/11/26WJuan Sebastian Gomez#578Challenger Lima · Q26:2 6:3
- 08/11/26WRicardo Sebastian Ramos VargasChallenger Lima · Q16:3 6:1
- 05/11/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#98Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R161:6 6:7
- 03/11/26WRafael Tosetto#776Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:5 5:7 6:1
- 27/10/26LValerio Aboian#268Challenger Guayaquil · R323:6 6:2 2:6
- 16/10/26LJuan Manuel La Serna#216Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · QF1:6 7:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#182Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R166:4 2:6 6:3
- 13/10/26WValerio Aboian#268Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · R325:7 6:0 6:3
- 06/10/26LTomas Barrios Vera#191Challenger Antofagasta · R324:6 2:6
- 30/09/26LGuido Ivan Justo#183Challenger Curitiba · R326:7 2:6
Elo over the last year
Alessandro RubiniFranco Roncadelli
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Rubini | F. Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 0–10% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 35–2558% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alessandro Rubini
First match in this tournament.
Franco Roncadelli
- 08/11/26WRicardo Sebastian Ramos VargasChallenger Lima · Q16:3 6:1
- 09/11/26WJuan Sebastian Gomez#578Challenger Lima · Q26:2 6:3
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