Varillas vs Barrios Vera: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Varillas lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Barrios Vera won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Varillas 47% · T. Barrios Vera 53%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,709 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Varillas | Tour | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.15 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 16% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/24 | 10/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 67 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Juan Pablo Varillas
- 03/11/26LFilip Misolic#593Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R327:6 2:6 3:6
- 27/10/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#260Challenger Guayaquil · R322:6 3:6
- 21/10/26LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Cali · R165:7 4:6
- 19/10/26WDaniel Elahi Galan#345Challenger Cali · R326:3 6:3
- 06/10/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#348Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 1:6
- 25/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF2:6 4:6
- 23/09/26WMurkel Dellien#464Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R164:6 7:5 6:4
- 22/09/26WTomas Farjat#761Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 6:2 7:6
- 11/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#98Challenger Genoa · QF1:6 6:7
- 10/09/26WFrancesco Passaro#157Challenger Genoa · R167:5 6:1
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 04/11/26LLautaro Midon#180Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R165:7 6:3 5:7
- 02/11/26WHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Costa do Sauipe · R326:4 7:6
- 29/10/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#288Challenger Guayaquil · R161:6 3:6
- 27/10/26WJuan Estevez#359Challenger Guayaquil · R326:2 7:6
- 19/10/26LNicolas Jarry#790Challenger Cali · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 08/10/26LMiguel Tobon#422Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#258Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 6:2
- 03/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#183Challenger Curitiba · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#199Challenger Curitiba · QF6:1 3:6 6:3
- 30/09/26WJuan Bautista Torres#325Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Varillas | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 9–853% |
| Clay | 39–2759% | 21–2249% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–250% |
Head to head
J. Varillas 0–1 T. Barrios Vera
- 05/04/25Winner: T. Barrios Vera3:6 1:6
Upcoming matches
- Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana, · Challenger Lima
- Zdenek Kolar vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva, · Challenger Lima
- Elmer Moller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri, · Challenger Lima
- Alessandro Rubini vs Franco Roncadelli, · Challenger Lima
- Abdullah Shelbayh vs Harry Wendelken, · Challenger Knoxville
- Coco Gauff vs Linda Nosková, · WTA WTA Tour Finals