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WTA WTA Tour FinalsFinalsRound robinhardbest of three sets

Gauff vs Nosková: prediction and tips

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Coco GauffWTA #4Elo 2202hard 2183
-:-
Linda NoskováWTA #8Elo 2107hard 2041

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Gauff61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 61%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gauff won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.531%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noskova: 4 matches in a row under 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Coco Gauff61%
Linda Nosková39%

Elo: C. Gauff 69% · L. Nosková 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Gauff37%
2:1 C. Gauff21%
2:1 L. Nosková17%
2:0 L. Nosková25%

First set

Coco Gauff56%
Linda Nosková44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,501 matches

Games handicap

C. Gauff −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. GauffTourL. Nosková
Service points won59%56%63%
Return points won47%44%42%
Service games held70%63%79%
Breaks of serve43%37%32%
Aces per service game0.260.59
Double faults per game0.480.45
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won9/144/13
Wins in straight sets58%64%
Matches in the sample5951

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Coco Gauff

Linda Nosková

Elo over the last year

Coco GauffLinda Nosková

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. GauffL. Nosková
Hard court30–879%18–1064%
Clay10–471%6–460%
Grass5–271%12–192%

Head to head

C. Gauff 2–1 L. Nosková

  • 27/04/26Winner: L. Nosková4:6 6:1 6:7
  • 18/08/23Winner: C. Gauff6:4 6:0
  • 12/03/23Winner: C. Gauff6:4 6:3

Road through the tournament

Coco Gauff

Linda Nosková

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