Kostyuk vs Nosková: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 18.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kostyuk: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: M. Kostyuk 48% · L. Nosková 52%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,505 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Kostyuk | Tour | L. Nosková | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 56% | 63% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 41% |
| Service games held | 73% | 63% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 42% | 37% | 32% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.39 | 0.45 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/10 | 4/13 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 47 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marta Kostyuk
- 21/10/26LEkaterina Alexandrova#32WTA Ningbo · R164:6
- 13/10/26LMaria Sakkari#30WTA Wuhan · R326:4 2:6 2:6
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#40WTA Guadalajara · QF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 06/09/26LLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · R165:7 7:5 4:6
- 04/09/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#32WTA US Open · R326:3 6:2
- 02/09/26WSloane Stephens#113WTA US Open · R646:1 7:5
- 30/08/26WStorm Hunter#161WTA US Open · R1286:4 6:1
- 22/08/26LCoco Gauff#4WTA Cincinnati · QF2:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA Cincinnati · R164:6 6:0 6:2
- 18/08/26WSloane Stephens#113WTA Cincinnati · R327:5 7:5
Linda Nosková
- 06/10/26LEkaterina Alexandrova#32WTA Beijing · R162:6 2:6
- 04/10/26WViktorija Golubic#89WTA Beijing · R326:2 6:1
- 02/10/26WElena-Gabriela Ruse#60WTA Beijing · R646:4 6:1
- 08/09/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA US Open · QF6:7 6:3 6:7
- 06/09/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA US Open · R167:5 5:7 6:4
- 04/09/26WAnn Li#31WTA US Open · R326:2 6:7 6:2
- 03/09/26WLanlana Tararudee#63WTA US Open · R646:4 6:2
- 31/08/26WKatie Volynets#78WTA US Open · R1287:5 6:1
- 19/08/26LAmanda Anisimova#22WTA Cincinnati · R161:6 4:6
- 17/08/26WClara Tauson#58WTA Cincinnati · R327:6 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Kostyuk | L. Nosková | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1058% | 17–1063% |
| Clay | 16–194% | 6–460% |
| Grass | 5–183% | 12–192% |
Head to head
M. Kostyuk 1–2 L. Nosková
- 06/09/26Winner: L. Nosková5:7 7:5 4:6
- 09/07/26Winner: L. Nosková4:6 4:6
- 29/04/26Winner: M. Kostyuk7:6 6:0
Upcoming matches
- Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolína Muchová, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Mirra Andreeva vs Elina Svitolina, · WTA WTA Tour Finals
- Rio Noguchi vs Daniel Michalski, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Mili Poljicak vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Kasidit Samrej vs Yuta Shimizu, · Challenger Matsuyama