Milic vs Nakagawa: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: O. Milic 58% · S. Nakagawa 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 33% | 67% | 37% |
Sample: 3,219 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| O. Milic | Tour | S. Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.30 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/11 | 3/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 40% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 12 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ognjen Milic
- 10/11/26WHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Matsuyama · R321:6 7:6 6:3
- 26/10/26LKaichi Uchida#431Challenger Ningbo · R326:7 2:6
- 20/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R324:6 7:6 6:7
- 07/09/26LAlex Barrena#232Challenger Tulln · R326:3 2:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LGeorgii Kravchenko#274Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R160:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WGeorge Lazarov#723Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:5 5:7 6:2
- 18/08/26LLucio Ratti#372Challenger Sion · R322:6 6:4 5:7
- 06/08/26LGabriele Piraino#391Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R164:6 3:6
- 04/08/26WIvan Ivanov#459Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:0 6:0
- 02/07/26LGuido Ivan Justo#183Challenger Brasov · R164:6 6:3 2:6
Shunsuke Nakagawa
- 10/11/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#195Challenger Matsuyama · R324:6 6:3 7:6
- 28/07/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#415Challenger Samsun · R322:6 2:6
- 27/07/26WMirza Basic#941Challenger Samsun · Q23:6 6:4 6:4
- 26/07/26WSaba Purtseladze#587Challenger Samsun · Q17:6 6:3
- 13/04/26LMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Wuning 2 · Q23:6 4:6
- 12/04/26WS D Prajwal Dev#693Challenger Wuning 2 · Q16:3 6:4
- 29/03/26LYuki Mochizuki#880Challenger Miyazaki · Q12:6 5:7
- 22/03/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#308Challenger Yokkaichi · Q16:4 1:6 2:6
- 02/03/26LTakuya Kumasaka#668Challenger Fujairah · Q16:7 3:6
- 04/01/26LJames Watt#972Challenger Noumea · Q13:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| O. Milic | S. Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–756% | 5–742% |
| Clay | 6–940% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Ognjen Milic
- 10/11/26WHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Matsuyama · R321:6 7:6 6:3
Shunsuke Nakagawa
- 10/11/26WDavid Jorda Sanchis#195Challenger Matsuyama · R324:6 6:3 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Jay Friend vs Naoya Honda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch, · Challenger Orleans
- Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston, · Challenger Orleans
- Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez, · Challenger Orleans