Friend vs Honda: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 6h 44mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: J. Friend 77% · N. Honda 23%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 80% | 20% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 71% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 46% | 54% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 61% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 2,947 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Friend | Tour | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.44 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.28 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 13/23 | 5/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 50 | 25 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Friend
- 09/11/26WYusuke Kusuhara#921Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 29/10/26LSho Shimabukuro#123Challenger Seoul · R163:6 1:6
- 27/10/26WAugust Holmgren#265Challenger Seoul · R326:3 6:3
- 23/10/26LColeman Wong#84Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF6:7 1:6
- 21/10/26WJames McCabe#287Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 20/10/26WOgnjen Milic#392Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:4 6:7 7:6
- 15/10/26LAlexander Shevchenko#107Challenger Jinan · R160:6 4:6
- 13/10/26WAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Jinan · R326:7 7:5 6:3
- 11/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Wuning 3 · F6:4 6:7 6:7
- 10/10/26WKeisuke Saitoh#488Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:2 6:1
Naoya Honda
- 10/11/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:2
- 29/10/26LLiam Broady#215Challenger Ningbo · R161:6 7:6 4:6
- 27/10/26WFilip Peliwo#618Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 6:3 7:6
- 26/10/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#414Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 7:5 6:4
- 25/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#661Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 6:3
- 18/10/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:4 3:6 5:7
- 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#228Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
- 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#271Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
- 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#86Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Friend | N. Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 32–1864% | 14–1156% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jay Friend
- 09/11/26WYusuke Kusuhara#921Challenger Matsuyama · R326:2 3:6 6:3
Naoya Honda
- 10/11/26WChun Hsin Tseng#230Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:2
Upcoming matches
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