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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Honda vs Tseng: prediction and tips

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Naoya HondaATP #584Elo 1522hard 1525
-:-
Chun Hsin TsengATP #230Elo 1708hard 1653

Our tips

Tip in 1d 5h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from Elo (no market). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Naoya Honda32%
Chun Hsin Tseng68%

Elo: N. Honda 32% · C. Tseng 68%

from Elo (no market)

Set score

2:0 N. Honda21%
2:1 N. Honda14%
2:1 C. Tseng20%
2:0 C. Tseng45%

First set

Naoya Honda38%
Chun Hsin Tseng62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.554%46%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.542%58%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 13,358 matches

Games handicap

C. Tseng −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. HondaTourC. Tseng
Service points won65%62%61%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held80%76%74%
Breaks of serve24%24%29%
Aces per service game0.440.25
Double faults per game0.310.15
Sets with a tie-break16%14%
Tie-breaks won5/98/18
Wins in straight sets69%72%
Matches in the sample2457

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Naoya Honda

  • 29/10/26LLiam Broady#212Challenger Ningbo · R161:6 7:6 4:6
  • 27/10/26WFilip Peliwo#600Challenger Ningbo · R325:7 6:3 7:6
  • 26/10/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#411Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 7:5 6:4
  • 25/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#646Challenger Ningbo · Q16:3 6:3
  • 18/10/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:4 3:6 5:7
  • 04/10/26LKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
  • 28/09/26LMarat Sharipov#226Challenger Jingshan · Q16:7 2:6
  • 17/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R163:6 4:6
  • 16/09/26WNikoloz Basilashvili#87Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R322:6 7:6
  • 14/09/26WJesse Flores#810Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:4 6:4

Chun Hsin Tseng

  • 04/11/26LCarl Emil Overbeck#301Challenger Taipei · R326:7 4:6
  • 05/10/26LNicolas Mejia#115ATP Shanghai · Q14:6
  • 08/09/26LLuca Castelnuovo#444Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 6:7 2:6
  • 05/09/26LKasidit Samrej#409Challenger Zhangjiagang · SF3:6 6:7
  • 04/09/26WFajing Sun#287Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:3 6:3
  • 02/09/26WYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Zhangjiagang · R167:5 6:3
  • 01/09/26WTianhui Zhang#800Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:4 6:0
  • 22/08/26LJan Kumstat#194Challenger Prague · F7:5 3:6 0:6
  • 21/08/26WNorbert Gombos#372Challenger Prague · SF6:4 6:2
  • 20/08/26WOleksii Krutykh#442Challenger Prague · QF6:2 6:4

Elo over the last year

Naoya HondaChun Hsin Tseng

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. HondaC. Tseng
Hard court13–1154%8–947%
Clay0–021–1854%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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