Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 16hardbest of three sets
Carboni vs Xilas: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni45%
Ioannis Xilas55%
Elo: L. Carboni 55% · I. Xilas 45%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 L. Carboni27%
2:1 L. Carboni18%
2:1 I. Xilas20%
2:0 I. Xilas35%
First set
Lorenzo Carboni46%
Ioannis Xilas54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 22.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 71% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 38% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 56% | 44% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,760 matches
Games handicap
I. Xilas −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes27%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Carboni | Tour | I. Xilas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 68% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.23 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/11 | 2/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 21 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Lorenzo Carboni
- 10/11/26WRemy Bertola#221Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R327:6 7:5
- 09/11/26WAlexandre Reco#815Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q27:6 6:3
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
- 14/10/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · R164:6 1:6
- 12/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#262Challenger Olbia · R326:7 6:4 1:0
- 06/09/26LGerard Campana Lee#435Challenger Seville · Q12:6 3:6
- 01/09/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Como · R321:6 0:3
- 11/08/26LDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Todi · R320:6 3:6
- 10/08/26WMaximilian Homberg#908Challenger Todi · Q26:1 6:1
- 09/08/26WGabriele Maria Noce#750Challenger Todi · Q16:1 4:6 7:6
Ioannis Xilas
- 10/11/26WSergey Fomin#333Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R324:6 6:0 6:2
- 15/07/26LHugo Dellien#106Challenger Cordenons · R322:6 3:6
- 02/07/26LKilian Feldbausch#238Challenger Troyes · R161:6 4:6
- 30/06/26WManas Dhamne#388Challenger Troyes · R327:6 7:6
- 08/06/26LLiam Broady#215Challenger Cattolica · R323:6 6:3 2:6
- 31/05/26LManuel Mazza#656Challenger Perugia · Q14:6 6:0 3:6
- 25/05/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#304Challenger Vicenza · Q22:6 6:7
- 19/05/26LMichele Ribecai#281Challenger Cervia · R324:6 1:6
- 28/04/26LMichael Geerts#356Challenger Abidjan 2 · R324:6 4:6
- 10/03/26LAlex Rybakov#643Challenger Hersonissos 2 · R323:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Lorenzo CarboniIoannis Xilas
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Carboni | I. Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–853% | 8–657% |
| Clay | 11–1542% | 1–614% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Lorenzo Carboni
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
- 09/11/26WAlexandre Reco#815Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q27:6 6:3
- 10/11/26WRemy Bertola#221Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R327:6 7:5
Ioannis Xilas
- 10/11/26WSergey Fomin#333Challenger Hersonissos 3 · R324:6 6:0 6:2
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