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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Raquillet vs Carboni: prediction and tips

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Leo RaquilletATP #703Elo 1373hard 1377
-:-awaiting result
Lorenzo CarboniATP #552Elo 1536hard 1499

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Carboni61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Raquillet lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Carboni won the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: Carboni66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 66%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Raquillet lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.541%

Where the number comes from: market alone 34% → with the players' profiles 41%

Carboni: 4 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leo Raquillet32%
Lorenzo Carboni68%

Elo: L. Raquillet 33% · L. Carboni 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Raquillet19%
2:1 L. Raquillet14%
2:1 L. Carboni22%
2:0 L. Carboni45%

First set

Leo Raquillet37%
Lorenzo Carboni63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.547%53%49%
22.541%59%42%
23.538%62%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 5,296 matches

Games handicap

L. Carboni −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RaquilletTourL. Carboni
Service points won55%62%57%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held61%76%67%
Breaks of serve28%24%29%
Aces per service game0.180.19
Double faults per game0.260.23
Sets with a tie-break3%10%
Tie-breaks won0/24/9
Wins in straight sets29%65%
Matches in the sample2440

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leo Raquillet

Lorenzo Carboni

  • 14/10/26LLuca Nardi#239Challenger Olbia · R164:6 1:6
  • 12/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#242Challenger Olbia · R326:7 6:4 1:0
  • 06/09/26LGerard Campana Lee#445Challenger Seville · Q12:6 3:6
  • 01/09/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Como · R321:6 0:3
  • 11/08/26LDaniel Michalski#305Challenger Todi · R320:6 3:6
  • 10/08/26WMaximilian Homberg#903Challenger Todi · Q26:1 6:1
  • 09/08/26WGabriele Maria Noce#748Challenger Todi · Q16:1 4:6 7:6
  • 04/08/26LPetr Brunclik#499Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R324:6 4:6
  • 07/06/26LManuel Mazza#660Challenger Cattolica · Q17:6 0:6 1:3
  • 02/06/26LRoberto Carballes Baena#263Challenger Perugia · R326:3 1:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Leo RaquilletLorenzo Carboni

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RaquilletL. Carboni
Hard court2–722%6–843%
Clay5–1033%11–1542%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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