Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Bertola vs Carboni 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Remy Bertola73%
Lorenzo Carboni27%
Elo: R. Bertola 67% · L. Carboni 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 R. Bertola51%
2:1 R. Bertola22%
2:1 L. Carboni12%
2:0 L. Carboni15%
First set
Remy Bertola67%
Lorenzo Carboni33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 42% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 4,310 matches
Games handicap
R. Bertola −3.555%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes29%
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Over 21.0in · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Remy Bertola | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 62% | First serves in | 58% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 65% | Second-serve points won | 66% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 2/3 |
| 10/12 | Service games held | 11/12 |
| 68% | Service points won | 71% |
| 29% | Return points won | 32% |
| 68 | Total points won | 77 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Bertola | Tour | L. Carboni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 77% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.43 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/31 | 5/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 42 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Remy Bertola
- 05/11/26LKilian Feldbausch#238Challenger Taranto · R166:7 7:6 2:6
- 04/11/26WLeonardo Rossi#527Challenger Taranto · R326:3 6:3
- 28/10/26LDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Basel · R324:6 2:6
- 25/10/26WMika Brunold#179ATP Basel · Q27:6 6:4
- 24/10/26WJakub PaulATP Basel · Q16:2 6:1
- 21/10/26LDavid Goffin#686ATP Brussels · R326:3 3:6 4:6
- 18/10/26LFederico Cina#139ATP Brussels · Q26:3 6:7 6:7
- 17/10/26WGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard#140ATP Brussels · Q17:6 6:7 7:5
- 14/10/26LOtto Virtanen#127Challenger Roanne · R325:7 5:7
- 30/09/26LLucas Poullain#316Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R166:3 5:7 3:6
Lorenzo Carboni
- 09/11/26WAlexandre Reco#815Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q27:6 6:3
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
- 14/10/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · R164:6 1:6
- 12/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#262Challenger Olbia · R326:7 6:4 1:0
- 06/09/26LGerard Campana Lee#435Challenger Seville · Q12:6 3:6
- 01/09/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Como · R321:6 0:3
- 11/08/26LDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Todi · R320:6 3:6
- 10/08/26WMaximilian Homberg#908Challenger Todi · Q26:1 6:1
- 09/08/26WGabriele Maria Noce#750Challenger Todi · Q16:1 4:6 7:6
- 04/08/26LPetr Brunclik#494Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R324:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Remy BertolaLorenzo Carboni
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Bertola | L. Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1946% | 8–850% |
| Clay | 10–1050% | 11–1542% |
| Grass | 7–370% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Remy Bertola
First match in this tournament.
Lorenzo Carboni
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
- 09/11/26WAlexandre Reco#815Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q27:6 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Dali Blanch vs Marko ToPo, · Challenger Monastir
- Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Max Schoenhaus vs Taro Daniel, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Lorenzo Carboni vs Ioannis Xilas, · Challenger Hersonissos 3