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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Schoenhaus vs Daniel: prediction and tips

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Max SchoenhausATP #306Elo 1627hard 1608
-:-
Taro DanielATP #172Elo 1802hard 1732

Our tips

Tip in 1d 6h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Max Schoenhaus40%
Taro Daniel60%

Elo: M. Schoenhaus 33% · T. Daniel 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Schoenhaus24%
2:1 M. Schoenhaus17%
2:1 T. Daniel21%
2:0 T. Daniel39%

First set

Max Schoenhaus43%
Taro Daniel57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.540%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,147 matches

Games handicap

T. Daniel −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. SchoenhausTourT. Daniel
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%41%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%31%
Aces per service game0.550.35
Double faults per game0.250.14
Sets with a tie-break19%13%
Tie-breaks won7/159/17
Wins in straight sets65%73%
Matches in the sample3360

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Max Schoenhaus

  • 10/11/26WRyuki Matsuda#661Challenger Matsuyama · R326:3 6:4
  • 20/10/26LTallon Griekspoor#49ATP Brussels · R326:7 7:6 5:7
  • 13/10/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Roanne · R322:6 6:7
  • 16/09/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
  • 14/09/26WPatrick Brady#672Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
  • 13/09/26WAdhithya Ganesan#827Challenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:4
  • 04/09/26LMatej Dodig#136Challenger Como · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 02/09/26WGonzalo Bueno#184Challenger Como · R166:1 6:3
  • 31/08/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#445Challenger Como · R326:2 6:7 6:1
  • 26/08/26LDaniel Masur#351Challenger Augsburg · R167:6 4:6 4:6

Taro Daniel

Elo over the last year

Max SchoenhausTaro Daniel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. SchoenhausT. Daniel
Hard court6–460%19–1458%
Clay11–1150%21–678%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Max Schoenhaus

Taro Daniel

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