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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Matsuda vs Schoenhaus 0:2: result and our tips

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Ryuki MatsudaATP #661Elo 1372hard 1370
0:2final3:6 4:6
Max SchoenhausATP #306Elo 1616hard 1592

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Matsuda: 9 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Matsuda: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Matsuda: 9 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Matsuda 10 of 20, Schoenhaus 6 of 20 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ryuki Matsuda16%
Max Schoenhaus84%

Elo: R. Matsuda 22% · M. Schoenhaus 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Matsuda9%
2:1 R. Matsuda8%
2:1 M. Schoenhaus20%
2:0 M. Schoenhaus63%

First set

Ryuki Matsuda23%
Max Schoenhaus77%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%26%79%
18.565%35%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.541%59%49%
22.535%65%42%
23.530%70%37%

Sample: 2,440 matches

Games handicap

M. Schoenhaus −4.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Ryuki MatsudaMax Schoenhaus
2Aces11
0Double faults2
58%First serves in64%
64%First-serve points won72%
54%Second-serve points won54%
1/9Break points converted3/9
6/9Service games held9/10
60%Service points won66%
34%Return points won40%
57Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. MatsudaTourM. Schoenhaus
Service points won59%62%64%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held71%76%79%
Breaks of serve23%24%23%
Aces per service game0.230.53
Double faults per game0.150.25
Sets with a tie-break8%19%
Tie-breaks won1/47/15
Wins in straight sets88%63%
Matches in the sample2332

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ryuki Matsuda

  • 09/11/26WMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:3 7:5
  • 08/11/26WTaisei Ichikawa#759Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:2
  • 25/10/26LNaoya Honda#588Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 3:6
  • 05/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#913Challenger Wuning 3 · Q22:6 3:6
  • 04/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:1
  • 15/09/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#764Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 13/09/26WMinh Phat NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 18/05/26LYusuke Takahashi#795Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R324:6 2:6
  • 12/05/26LChristopher PapaChallenger Bengaluru 2 · R326:7 6:3 2:6

Max Schoenhaus

  • 20/10/26LTallon Griekspoor#49ATP Brussels · R326:7 7:6 5:7
  • 13/10/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Roanne · R322:6 6:7
  • 16/09/26LMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Rennes · R326:7 4:6
  • 14/09/26WPatrick Brady#672Challenger Rennes · Q24:6 6:3 6:1
  • 13/09/26WAdhithya Ganesan#827Challenger Rennes · Q17:6 6:4
  • 04/09/26LMatej Dodig#136Challenger Como · QF6:2 6:7 3:6
  • 02/09/26WGonzalo Bueno#184Challenger Como · R166:1 6:3
  • 31/08/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#445Challenger Como · R326:2 6:7 6:1
  • 26/08/26LDaniel Masur#351Challenger Augsburg · R167:6 4:6 4:6
  • 24/08/26WMili Poljicak#276Challenger Augsburg · R326:4 6:3

Elo over the last year

Ryuki MatsudaMax Schoenhaus

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. MatsudaM. Schoenhaus
Hard court8–1535%5–456%
Clay0–011–1150%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Ryuki Matsuda

Max Schoenhaus

First match in this tournament.

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