Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying
Ichikawa vs Matsuda: prediction and tips
·
Taisei IchikawaATP #723Elo 1473hard 1475
-:-
Ryuki MatsudaATP #646Elo 1304hard 1302
Our tips
Tip in 7h 2mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Taisei Ichikawa40%
Ryuki Matsuda60%
Elo: T. Ichikawa 73% · R. Matsuda 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 T. Ichikawa24%
2:1 T. Ichikawa17%
2:1 R. Matsuda21%
2:0 R. Matsuda39%
First set
Taisei Ichikawa43%
Ryuki Matsuda57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%
Total games
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 74% | 26% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
Sample: 6,096 matches
Games handicap
R. Matsuda −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes32%
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Ichikawa | Tour | R. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/6 | 1/4 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 83% | |
| Matches in the sample | 19 | 21 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Taisei Ichikawa
- 25/10/26LHiroki Moriya#455Challenger Ningbo · Q14:6 4:6
- 04/10/26LBlake BayldonChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:7 4:6
- 14/09/26LTimofei Derepasko#614Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q25:7 3:6
- 13/09/26WNikita Ianin#968Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:2 6:2
- 07/09/26LBenjamin O'Connell#955Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q27:6 5:7 2:6
- 06/09/26WNoritaka Koizumi#904Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:4 6:1
- 11/08/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#268Challenger Astana · R322:6 3:6
- 10/08/26WKaran (IND) Singh#354Challenger Astana · Q26:3 3:6 6:1
- 09/08/26WHyeon Chung#576Challenger Astana · Q17:5 6:4
- 29/03/26LMasamichi Imamura#437Challenger Miyazaki · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
Ryuki Matsuda
- 25/10/26LNaoya Honda#584Challenger Ningbo · Q13:6 3:6
- 05/10/26LYuta Kikuchi#894Challenger Wuning 3 · Q22:6 3:6
- 04/10/26WSergey BetovChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:1
- 15/09/26LMoise Kouame#132Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R321:6 3:6
- 14/09/26WTaiyo Yamanaka#828Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WMinh Phat NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:4 6:2
- 18/05/26LYusuke Takahashi#792Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R324:6 2:6
- 12/05/26LChristopher PapaChallenger Bengaluru 2 · R326:7 6:3 2:6
- 12/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#511Challenger Wuning 2 · Q16:7 4:6
- 05/04/26LEthan CookChallenger Wuning · Q13:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Taisei IchikawaRyuki Matsuda
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Ichikawa | R. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1047% | 6–1529% |
Head to head
T. Ichikawa 1–1 R. Matsuda
- 17/11/25Winner: T. Ichikawa7:5 6:3
- 28/10/24Winner: R. Matsuda6:7 6:4 4:6
Upcoming matches
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- Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo, · ATP Stockholm
- Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerúndolo, · ATP Stockholm
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