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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Shelbayh vs Wendelken: prediction and tips

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Abdullah ShelbayhATP #305Elo 1696hard 1686
-:-
Harry WendelkenATP #236Elo 1660hard 1663

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: No70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 70%

Wendelken: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.539%

Where the number comes from: market alone 41% → with the players' profiles 39%

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Shelbayh 9 of 20, Wendelken 11 of 20 (tour average 35%); Wendelken: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Abdullah Shelbayh49%
Harry Wendelken51%

Elo: A. Shelbayh 53% · H. Wendelken 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Shelbayh30%
2:1 A. Shelbayh19%
2:1 H. Wendelken20%
2:0 H. Wendelken31%

First set

Abdullah Shelbayh49%
Harry Wendelken51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%28%71%
19.565%36%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.551%49%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 5,412 matches

Games handicap

H. Wendelken −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ShelbayhTourH. Wendelken
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held73%76%73%
Breaks of serve26%24%27%
Aces per service game0.280.33
Double faults per game0.290.26
Sets with a tie-break14%12%
Tie-breaks won9/208/15
Wins in straight sets62%44%
Matches in the sample6252

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Abdullah Shelbayh

Harry Wendelken

Elo over the last year

Abdullah ShelbayhHarry Wendelken

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ShelbayhH. Wendelken
Hard court21–1953%24–1759%
Clay6–1233%0–30%
Grass2–250%3–538%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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