Holmgren vs O'Connell: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 8h 14mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Holmgren 22% · C. O'Connell 78%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 73% | 27% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 65% | 35% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 45% | 55% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,980 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Holmgren | Tour | C. O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.63 | 0.62 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 23% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/29 | 12/25 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
August Holmgren
- 10/11/26WPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 4:6 7:5
- 04/11/26LYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Taipei · R166:7 4:6
- 02/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Taipei · R326:3 6:4
- 27/10/26LJay Friend#256Challenger Seoul · R323:6 3:6
- 13/10/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · R326:4 4:6 4:6
- 06/10/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Villena · R326:2 6:7 5:7
- 02/10/26LHenrique Rocha#111Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#160Challenger Porto 2 · R167:5 6:1
- 28/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#91Challenger Porto 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 07/09/26LVadym Ursu#443Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
Christopher O'Connell
- 10/11/26WMoerani Bouzige#480Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 6:1
- 28/08/26LZsombor Piros#99ATP US Open · Q37:5 6:7
- 26/08/26WNicolai Budkov Kjaer#178ATP US Open · Q27:5 6:4
- 25/08/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#130ATP US Open · Q16:3 6:3
- 20/08/26LTaylor Fritz#10ATP Cincinnati · R164:6 3:6
- 16/08/26WCasper Ruud#18ATP Cincinnati · R647:5 1:2
- 14/08/26WKamil Majchrzak#82ATP Cincinnati · R1286:4 7:6
- 13/08/26WAlexander Shevchenko#107ATP Cincinnati · Q26:4 6:1
- 11/08/26WDane Sweeny#116ATP Cincinnati · Q16:7 6:2 7:5
- 03/08/26LJames Duckworth#76ATP Montreal · R1283:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Holmgren | C. O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–2347% | 17–1357% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 0–60% |
| Grass | 5–645% | 7–370% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
August Holmgren
- 10/11/26WPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 4:6 7:5
Christopher O'Connell
- 10/11/26WMoerani Bouzige#480Challenger Brisbane 3 · R326:4 6:1
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