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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Milavsky vs Cassone: prediction and tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #310Elo 1725hard 1710
-:-
Murphy CassoneATP #286Elo 1733hard 1722

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.556%

Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 56%

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Milavsky 15 of 20, Cassone 13 of 20 (tour average 49%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.541%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Milavsky 11 of 20, Cassone 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky51%
Murphy Cassone49%

Elo: D. Milavsky 48% · M. Cassone 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky32%
2:1 D. Milavsky20%
2:1 M. Cassone19%
2:0 M. Cassone30%

First set

Daniel Milavsky51%
Murphy Cassone49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%63%32%

Sample: 5,424 matches

Games handicap

D. Milavsky −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourM. Cassone
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.530.52
Double faults per game0.300.22
Sets with a tie-break17%21%
Tie-breaks won13/2113/25
Wins in straight sets67%65%
Matches in the sample5150

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

Murphy Cassone

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyMurphy Cassone

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyM. Cassone
Hard court26–1958%25–2154%
Clay0–10%0–0
Grass4–180%1–325%

Head to head

D. Milavsky 0–1 M. Cassone

  • 03/06/26Winner: M. Cassone4:6 1:6

Road through the tournament

Daniel Milavsky

Murphy Cassone

First match in this tournament.

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