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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Milavsky vs Miyoshi 2:0: result and our tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #310Elo 1708hard 1692
2:0final7:6(4) 6:4
Kenta (2004) MiyoshiATP #415Elo 1619hard 1615

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MilavskyWon59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Milavsky: 5 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky62%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi39%

Elo: D. Milavsky 61% · K. Miyoshi 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky40%
2:1 D. Milavsky22%
2:1 K. Miyoshi16%
2:0 K. Miyoshi23%

First set

Daniel Milavsky58%
Kenta (2004) Miyoshi42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%

Sample: 6,071 matches

Games handicap

D. Milavsky −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Daniel MilavskyKenta (2004) Miyoshi
3Aces7
0Double faults2
79%First serves in58%
78%First-serve points won69%
50%Second-serve points won61%
2/3Break points converted1/4
10/11Service games held9/11
72%Service points won66%
34%Return points won28%
72Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourK. Miyoshi
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held79%76%77%
Breaks of serve24%24%29%
Aces per service game0.540.52
Double faults per game0.300.19
Sets with a tie-break17%16%
Tie-breaks won12/209/14
Wins in straight sets66%74%
Matches in the sample5037

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

  • 08/11/26WAndrew Fenty#478Challenger Knoxville · Q16:4 6:2
  • 02/11/26LAidan Mayo#235Challenger Charlottesville · Q24:6 2:6
  • 02/11/26WDominick Mosejczuk#808Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:0 5:7 6:0
  • 25/10/26LGavin Young#530Challenger Sioux Falls · Q15:7 5:7
  • 21/10/26LPatrick Maloney#779Challenger Fort Worth · R160:6 7:6 6:7
  • 20/10/26WMurphy Cassone#286Challenger Fort Worth · R326:4 7:6
  • 19/10/26LSander Jong#394Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 6:7 5:7
  • 18/10/26WKeshav Chopra#681Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:3 6:3
  • 22/09/26LLloyd Harris#103ATP Chengdu · Q13:6 5:7
  • 16/09/26LPhilip Sekulic#332Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R167:6 6:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyKenta (2004) Miyoshi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyK. Miyoshi
Hard court25–1957%23–1462%
Clay0–10%0–0
Grass4–180%0–0

Head to head

D. Milavsky 0–1 K. Miyoshi

  • 29/05/25Winner: K. Miyoshi2:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Daniel Milavsky

Kenta (2004) Miyoshi

Upcoming matches

See also