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Challenger KnoxvilleChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Milavsky vs Wiedenmann 2:0: result and our tips

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Daniel MilavskyATP #310Elo 1700hard 1679
2:0final6:3 6:2
Luca WiedenmannATP #490Elo 1436hard 1493

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: MilavskyWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Milavsky: 4 matches in a row winning the first set; Milavsky won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Wiedenmann lost the first set in 6 of the last 11 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: MilavskyWon73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Wiedenmann lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniel Milavsky78%
Luca Wiedenmann22%

Elo: D. Milavsky 75% · L. Wiedenmann 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Milavsky56%
2:1 D. Milavsky22%
2:1 L. Wiedenmann10%
2:0 L. Wiedenmann12%

First set

Daniel Milavsky72%
Luca Wiedenmann28%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no69%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%79%
18.568%32%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.538%62%42%
23.533%67%37%

Sample: 3,427 matches

Games handicap

D. Milavsky −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Daniel MilavskyLuca Wiedenmann
8Aces3
3Double faults1
66%First serves in61%
80%First-serve points won68%
48%Second-serve points won35%
3/5Break points converted0/6
9/9Service games held5/8
69%Service points won55%
45%Return points won31%
69Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. MilavskyTourL. Wiedenmann
Service points won63%62%60%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held78%76%73%
Breaks of serve24%24%26%
Aces per service game0.530.25
Double faults per game0.300.22
Sets with a tie-break17%0%
Tie-breaks won12/200/0
Wins in straight sets64%80%
Matches in the sample4912

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniel Milavsky

  • 05/11/26LMax Hans Rehberg#241Challenger Charlottesville · R167:6 5:7 5:7
  • 03/11/26WAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Charlottesville · R327:6 6:3
  • 02/11/26WShunsuke Mitsui#647Challenger Charlottesville · Q27:6 7:6
  • 01/11/26WJoshua Charlton#873Challenger Charlottesville · Q16:3 7:6
  • 28/10/26LJeffrey John Wolf#201Challenger Sioux Falls · R166:7 6:7
  • 26/10/26WHarry Wendelken#236Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:4 4:6 6:3
  • 21/10/26LDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Fort Worth · R161:6 4:6
  • 19/10/26WGovind NandaChallenger Fort Worth · R326:4 6:4
  • 30/09/26LDarwin Blanch#149Challenger Columbus · R163:6 6:1 3:6
  • 28/09/26WBlaise Bicknell#395Challenger Columbus · R326:3 6:2

Luca Wiedenmann

  • 21/09/26LYanaki Milev#526Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q22:6 1:6
  • 20/09/26WKai Wehnelt#645Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:4 4:0
  • 13/09/26LFederico Iannaccone#574Challenger Biella · Q13:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26LHenry Bernet#381Challenger Tulln · Q12:6 3:6
  • 18/08/26LSandro Kopp#307Challenger Sion · R324:6 1:6
  • 17/08/26LThiago Cigarran#589Challenger Sion · Q26:2 4:6 3:6
  • 16/08/26WTimeo GaillardChallenger Sion · Q16:2 6:1
  • 16/06/26LRyan Seggerman#560Challenger Parma · R322:6 1:6
  • 15/06/26WMatteo Martineau#203Challenger Parma · Q26:4 6:1
  • 14/06/26WLeonardo TomboliniChallenger Parma · Q16:2 6:1

Elo over the last year

Daniel MilavskyLuca Wiedenmann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. MilavskyL. Wiedenmann
Hard court24–1956%0–0
Clay0–10%5–742%
Grass4–180%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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