Samson vs Alves: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 80%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Alves lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Alves: 3 matches in a row under 17.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: L. Samson 85% · C. Alves 15%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 76% | 24% | 77% |
| 17.5 | 66% | 34% | 68% |
| 18.5 | 55% | 45% | 59% |
| 19.5 | 47% | 53% | 52% |
| 20.5 | 41% | 59% | 45% |
| 21.5 | 38% | 62% | 41% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 1,004 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 20%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Samson | Tour | C. Alves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 54% | 56% | 52% |
| Return points won | 47% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 54% |
| Breaks of serve | 41% | 37% | 42% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.13 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.53 | 0.31 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 1/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 46 | 14 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Laura Samson
- 04/11/26LCarole Monnet#214WTA 125 Cali · R166:3 6:7 3:6
- 02/11/26WYuliana LizarazoWTA 125 Cali · R326:4 6:3
- 26/10/26LAlice Tubello#146WTA 125 Curitiba · R320:6 4:6
- 18/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#299WTA 125 Mallorca · F2:6 2:6
- 17/10/26WTamara Zidansek#142WTA 125 Mallorca · SF6:1 1:6 6:3
- 16/10/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#143WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:0
- 15/10/26WLucie Nguyen Tan#365WTA 125 Mallorca · R166:0 6:3
- 12/10/26WAran Teixido Garcia#335WTA 125 Mallorca · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 21/09/26LNoemi Basiletti#240WTA 125 Tolentino · R323:6 4:6
- 19/09/26LSamira de Stefano#190WTA 125 Ljubljana · SF3:6 6:1 4:6
Carolina Alves
- 08/11/26WSara Alejandra Lozano AvellanedaWTA 125 Sopo · Q16:0 6:0
- 04/11/26LLeolia Jeanjean#89WTA 125 Cali · R161:6 4:6
- 02/11/26WMaria Paulina Perez GarciaWTA 125 Cali · R326:1 6:0
- 27/10/26LJulia Grabher#115WTA 125 Curitiba · R325:7 6:7
- 16/09/26LSuzan Lamens#193WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 6:7 2:6
- 08/09/26LLeolia Jeanjean#89WTA 125 Barranquilla · R322:6 6:7
- 07/09/26WAntonia Vergara Rivera#500WTA 125 Barranquilla · Q16:2 6:4
- 16/05/26LLisa Zaar#281WTA Rabat · Q11:6 5:7
- 26/04/26LWeronika Falkowska#255WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q14:6 3:6
- 22/02/26LMartina Colmegna#402WTA 125 Antalya · Q14:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Samson | C. Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–50% | 1–233% |
| Clay | 26–1465% | 3–827% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Laura Samson
First match in this tournament.
Carolina Alves
- 08/11/26WSara Alejandra Lozano AvellanedaWTA 125 Sopo · Q16:0 6:0
Upcoming matches
- Ozan Baris vs Oliver Tarvet, · Challenger Knoxville
- Maria Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal Arias, · WTA 125 Sopo
- Daniel Milavsky vs Murphy Cassone, · Challenger Knoxville
- Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert, · Challenger Orleans
- Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana, · Challenger Lima
- Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Grabher, · WTA 125 Sopo