Hsu vs McDonald: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 7h 54mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: Y. Hsu 67% · N. McDonald 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 62% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 41% | 59% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 4,189 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Hsu | Tour | N. McDonald | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 70% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.32 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/11 | 2/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 45 | 29 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 09/11/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Matsuyama · R326:3 6:3
- 03/11/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Taipei · R321:6 6:3 4:6
- 31/10/26LYaroslav Demin#361Challenger Ningbo · SF5:7 6:1 4:6
- 30/10/26WMert Alkaya#319Challenger Ningbo · QF6:3 6:3
- 28/10/26WYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Ningbo · R167:5 3:6 6:4
- 27/10/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Ningbo · R324:6 7:5 7:6
- 20/10/26LJie Cui#368Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LIlya Ivashka#223Challenger Shanghai · R323:6 3:6
- 02/09/26LJames Kent Trotter#516Challenger Zhangjiagang · R164:6 5:7
- 01/09/26WElias Ymer#254Challenger Zhangjiagang · R327:6 5:5
Niels McDonald
- 10/11/26WKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:4
- 26/10/26LMichael Geerts#356Challenger Brest · Q26:4 4:6 3:6
- 25/10/26WPierre Delage#557Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
- 11/10/26LJakub PaulChallenger Roanne · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
- 28/09/26LNiels Visker#419Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q23:6 4:6
- 27/09/26WZaccharie CadoChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:2 6:2
- 01/09/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#304Challenger Porto · R323:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LCezar Cretu#273Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 0:6
- 14/08/26LMarvin Moeller#229Challenger Hamburg · QF4:6 0:6
- 12/08/26WEduardo Ribeiro#357Challenger Hamburg · R164:6 6:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Hsu | N. McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 15–1845% | 3–730% |
| Clay | 3–443% | 7–1237% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Yu Hsiou Hsu
- 09/11/26WKeegan Smith#189Challenger Matsuyama · R326:3 6:3
Niels McDonald
- 10/11/26WKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Matsuyama · R326:4 6:4
Upcoming matches
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- Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud, · ATP Stockholm
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