ATP Stockholm250Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Shevchenko vs Ruud: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 16h 45mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Alexander Shevchenko20%
Casper Ruud80%
Elo: A. Shevchenko 19% · C. Ruud 81%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Shevchenko11%
2:1 A. Shevchenko11%
2:1 C. Ruud21%
2:0 C. Ruud57%
First set
Alexander Shevchenko27%
Casper Ruud73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%
Total games
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 78% | 22% | 76% |
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 35% | 65% | 38% |
Sample: 3,099 matches
Games handicap
C. Ruud −4.547%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 38%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Shevchenko | Tour | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 66% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 86% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.50 | 0.54 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.20 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 15/32 | 10/21 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 51 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexander Shevchenko
- 10/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Stockholm · R326:1 6:3
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 02/11/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Bratislava 2 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 18/10/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#130ATP Almaty · Q26:7 4:6
- 17/10/26WDaniil Glinka#163ATP Almaty · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
- 16/10/26LMattia Bellucci#62Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WJay Friend#256Challenger Jinan · R166:0 6:4
- 13/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#64Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 05/10/26LYoshihito Nishioka#916ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 4:6
Casper Ruud
- 07/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · SF4:6 4:6
- 06/11/26WNuno Borges#41ATP Paris · QF7:6 6:4
- 05/11/26WJan-Lennard Struff#37ATP Paris · R166:3 6:3
- 03/11/26WRafael Jodar#11ATP Paris · R326:3 6:4
- 02/11/26WJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Paris · R646:3 6:2
- 28/10/26LNuno Borges#41ATP Basel · R166:1 3:6 4:6
- 26/10/26WDominic Stricker#259ATP Basel · R324:6 7:5 6:3
- 16/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · QF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 14/10/26WFelix Auger-Aliassime#14ATP Shanghai · R165:2
- 12/10/26WLearner Tien#22ATP Shanghai · R326:4 7:6
Elo over the last year
Alexander ShevchenkoCasper Ruud
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Shevchenko | C. Ruud | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–1949% | 15–1256% |
| Clay | 14–1254% | 17–674% |
| Grass | 0–20% | 0–10% |
Head to head
A. Shevchenko 0–2 C. Ruud
- 07/03/26Winner: C. Ruud1:6 6:7
- 20/07/23Winner: C. Ruud2:6 4:6
Road through the tournament
Alexander Shevchenko
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
- 10/11/26WAdrian Mannarino#61ATP Stockholm · R326:1 6:3
Casper Ruud
First match in this tournament.
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