ATP Stockholm250Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets
Mannarino vs Shevchenko 0:2: result and our tips
·
0:2final1:6 3:6
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Adrian Mannarino55%
Alexander Shevchenko45%
Elo: A. Mannarino 60% · A. Shevchenko 40%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Mannarino34%
2:1 A. Mannarino21%
2:1 A. Shevchenko20%
2:0 A. Shevchenko26%
First set
Adrian Mannarino54%
Alexander Shevchenko46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 69% | 31% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 38% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 55% | 45% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 45% | 55% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 5,773 matches
Games handicap
A. Mannarino −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes47%
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Over 22.5out · 16 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Adrian Mannarino | Alexander Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 6 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 69% | First serves in | 55% |
| 45% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 23% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 2/2 | Break points converted | 6/11 |
| 2/8 | Service games held | 6/8 |
| 38% | Service points won | 63% |
| 37% | Return points won | 62% |
| 34 | Total points won | 57 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Mannarino | Tour | A. Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.50 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/25 | 15/32 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 55% | |
| Matches in the sample | 64 | 64 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Adrian Mannarino
- 08/11/26LToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · Q26:3 5:7 1:6
- 07/11/26WJan SimonssonATP Stockholm · Q16:4 6:1
- 31/10/26LNuno Borges#41ATP Paris · Q16:4 1:6 5:7
- 30/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Vienna · QF2:6 3:6
- 28/10/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP Vienna · R166:4 7:5
- 27/10/26WIgnacio Buse#32ATP Vienna · R320:6 7:5 6:4
- 25/10/26WAlex Molcan#72ATP Vienna · Q27:5 6:2
- 24/10/26WThiago Agustin Tirante#51ATP Vienna · Q16:4 7:6
- 23/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#86ATP Almaty · QF3:6 1:6
- 21/10/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP Almaty · R166:4 3:6 6:3
Alexander Shevchenko
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 02/11/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Bratislava 2 · R323:6 6:4 4:6
- 18/10/26LStefanos Sakellaridis#130ATP Almaty · Q26:7 4:6
- 17/10/26WDaniil Glinka#163ATP Almaty · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
- 16/10/26LMattia Bellucci#62Challenger Jinan · QF4:6 4:6
- 15/10/26WJay Friend#256Challenger Jinan · R166:0 6:4
- 13/10/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#64Challenger Jinan · R326:3 6:4
- 05/10/26LYoshihito Nishioka#916ATP Shanghai · Q12:6 4:6
- 24/09/26LHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Chengdu · R323:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Adrian MannarinoAlexander Shevchenko
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Mannarino | A. Shevchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–2349% | 17–1947% |
| Clay | 0–80% | 14–1254% |
| Grass | 6–555% | 0–20% |
Head to head
A. Mannarino 1–0 A. Shevchenko
- 05/07/23Winner: A. Mannarino6:3 6:3 6:2
Road through the tournament
Adrian Mannarino
- 07/11/26WJan SimonssonATP Stockholm · Q16:4 6:1
- 08/11/26LToby Samuel#95ATP Stockholm · Q26:3 5:7 1:6
Alexander Shevchenko
- 07/11/26WDurasovic#498ATP Stockholm · Q16:1 6:1
- 08/11/26WJacob Fearnley#87ATP Stockholm · Q26:2 6:4
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