Fritz vs Norrie: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 16h 45mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: T. Fritz 72% · C. Norrie 28%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 26% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 52% | 48% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 3,833 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Fritz | Tour | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 71% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 89% | 76% | 80% |
| Breaks of serve | 16% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 1.03 | 0.37 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.13 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 24/37 | 13/26 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 62 | 47 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Taylor Fritz
- 06/11/26LCarlos Alcaraz#3ATP Paris · QF7:6 5:7 3:6
- 05/11/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Paris · R166:3 6:4
- 04/11/26WAlex Molcan#72ATP Paris · R326:7 7:5 7:6
- 03/11/26WBenjamin Bonzi#91ATP Paris · R643:6 6:3 6:4
- 31/10/26LValentin Vacherot#27ATP Basel · SF6:7 3:6
- 30/10/26WArthur Fils#7ATP Basel · QF6:2 2:0
- 29/10/26WDenis Shapovalov#50ATP Basel · R166:4 6:3
- 28/10/26WRinky Hijikata#59ATP Basel · R326:4 7:6
- 25/10/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Lyon · F3:6 4:6
- 24/10/26WTommy Paul#13ATP Lyon · SF6:3 7:5
Cameron Norrie
- 09/11/26WJames Duckworth#76ATP Stockholm · R327:5 6:0
- 03/11/26LBen Shelton#4ATP Paris · R323:6 4:6
- 02/11/26WMatteo Arnaldi#38ATP Paris · R646:4 1:6 6:3
- 29/10/26LDaniil Medvedev#5ATP Vienna · R166:4 3:6 6:7
- 27/10/26WFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Vienna · R326:4 6:1
- 20/10/26LBenjamin Bonzi#91ATP Lyon · R323:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26LDalibor Svrcina#112ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 6:3 4:6
- 01/10/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Beijing · R326:7 4:6
- 30/08/26LLuca Van Assche#34ATP US Open · R1287:6 2:6 2:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LAlexander Zverev#1ATP Cincinnati · R646:3 3:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Fritz | C. Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–1567% | 18–1653% |
| Clay | 0–20% | 5–645% |
| Grass | 11–379% | 0–20% |
Head to head
T. Fritz 5–3 C. Norrie
- 17/10/23Winner: T. Fritz6:4 6:3
- 06/01/22Winner: T. Fritz7:6 3:6 6:1
- 04/11/21Winner: T. Fritz6:3 7:6
- 24/07/21Winner: C. Norrie3:6 1:6
- 28/03/21Winner: T. Fritz6:4 3:6 6:1
- 18/02/20Winner: C. Norrie4:6 7:6 4:6
- 14/01/19Winner: T. Fritz6:3 7:6 6:2
- 10/01/19Winner: C. Norrie6:7 3:6
Road through the tournament
Taylor Fritz
First match in this tournament.
Cameron Norrie
- 09/11/26WJames Duckworth#76ATP Stockholm · R327:5 6:0
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