McDonald vs Matsuda 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Matsuda: 6 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. McDonald 39% · K. Matsuda 61%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,623 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.0out · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Niels McDonald | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 3 |
| 4 | Double faults | 1 |
| 65% | First serves in | 73% |
| 74% | First-serve points won | 58% |
| 52% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 3/5 | Break points converted | 1/7 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 7/10 |
| 67% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 33% |
| 73 | Total points won | 59 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. McDonald | Tour | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.26 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 2/6 | 14/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 28 | 36 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Niels McDonald
- 26/10/26LMichael Geerts#356Challenger Brest · Q26:4 4:6 3:6
- 25/10/26WPierre Delage#557Challenger Brest · Q16:3 6:1
- 11/10/26LJakub PaulChallenger Roanne · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
- 28/09/26LNiels Visker#419Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q23:6 4:6
- 27/09/26WZaccharie CadoChallenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:2 6:2
- 01/09/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#304Challenger Porto · R323:6 4:6
- 25/08/26LCezar Cretu#273Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 0:6
- 14/08/26LMarvin Moeller#229Challenger Hamburg · QF4:6 0:6
- 12/08/26WEduardo Ribeiro#357Challenger Hamburg · R164:6 6:3 6:4
- 10/08/26WMika Petkovic#389Challenger Hamburg · R320:6 6:4 6:3
Koki Matsuda
- 09/11/26WS D Prajwal Dev#693Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:2 7:6
- 08/11/26WYuki Mochizuki#880Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:2 5:7 6:4
- 01/11/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Taipei · Q13:6 6:7
- 27/10/26LTerence Atmane#75Challenger Seoul · R326:4 1:6 2:6
- 26/10/26LBeibit Zhukayev#520Challenger Seoul · Q24:6 6:7
- 25/10/26WGeun Jun Kim#911Challenger Seoul · Q17:6 6:4
- 20/10/26LYi Zhou#279Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R321:6 3:6
- 19/10/26WOmar Jasika#301Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q26:4 7:6
- 18/10/26WMillen Hurrion#497Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:3 4:6 7:6
- 06/10/26LEvan Zhu#461Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. McDonald | K. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–722% | 20–1754% |
| Clay | 7–1237% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Niels McDonald
First match in this tournament.
Koki Matsuda
- 08/11/26WYuki Mochizuki#880Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:2 5:7 6:4
- 09/11/26WS D Prajwal Dev#693Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:2 7:6
Upcoming matches
- Dali Blanch vs Marko ToPo, · Challenger Monastir
- Jay Friend vs Naoya Honda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Max Schoenhaus vs Taro Daniel, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Lorenzo Carboni vs Ioannis Xilas, · Challenger Hersonissos 3