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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Imamura vs Daniel 0:2: result and our tips

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Masamichi ImamuraATP #439Elo 1502hard 1504
0:2final4:6 0:6
Taro DanielATP #172Elo 1798hard 1727

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Masamichi Imamura19%
Taro Daniel81%

Elo: M. Imamura 22% · T. Daniel 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Imamura10%
2:1 M. Imamura9%
2:1 T. Daniel21%
2:0 T. Daniel60%

First set

Masamichi Imamura26%
Taro Daniel75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%27%79%
18.565%36%71%
19.556%44%62%
20.547%53%54%
21.541%59%49%
22.536%65%42%
23.531%69%37%

Sample: 2,935 matches

Games handicap

T. Daniel −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Masamichi ImamuraTaro Daniel
2Aces6
1Double faults0
67%First serves in57%
40%First-serve points won61%
42%Second-serve points won57%
2/5Break points converted6/12
2/8Service games held6/8
40%Service points won59%
41%Return points won60%
43Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. ImamuraTourT. Daniel
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held72%76%79%
Breaks of serve27%24%30%
Aces per service game0.210.34
Double faults per game0.160.14
Sets with a tie-break8%13%
Tie-breaks won6/109/17
Wins in straight sets74%72%
Matches in the sample5359

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Masamichi Imamura

Taro Daniel

Elo over the last year

Masamichi ImamuraTaro Daniel

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. ImamuraT. Daniel
Hard court27–2651%18–1456%
Clay0–021–678%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Masamichi Imamura

Taro Daniel

First match in this tournament.

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