Reco vs Carboni 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 54% → with the players' profiles 56%
Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Reco 5 of 6, Carboni 13 of 20 (tour average 58%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Reco 59% · L. Carboni 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 72% | 29% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 63% | 37% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 35% |
Sample: 5,752 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Alexandre Reco | Lorenzo Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 0 |
| 7 | Double faults | 1 |
| 40% | First serves in | 58% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 59% |
| 2/4 | Break points converted | 3/6 |
| 7/10 | Service games held | 9/11 |
| 57% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 43% |
| 71 | Total points won | 81 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Reco | Tour | L. Carboni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 75% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.19 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 4/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 6 | 41 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alexandre Reco
- 08/11/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#473Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q16:4 7:5
- 29/09/26LRemy Bertola#221Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 3:6
- 28/09/26WPatrick Zahraj#536Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q27:5 6:3
- 27/09/26WJustin Boulais#411Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
- 14/06/26LFranco Ribero#675Challenger Royan · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
- 08/03/26LAntoine Ghibaudo#505Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · Q13:6 2:6
- 20/10/24LGeoffrey Blancaneaux#444Challenger Brest · Q11:6 4:6
- 02/10/24LHarold Mayot#210Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · R323:6 3:6
- 30/09/24WAlessandro Pecci#738Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · Q26:2 6:4
- 29/09/24WHazem Naw#962Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · Q16:3 4:6 6:3
Lorenzo Carboni
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
- 14/10/26LLuca Nardi#263Challenger Olbia · R164:6 1:6
- 12/10/26WMackenzie McDonald#262Challenger Olbia · R326:7 6:4 1:0
- 06/09/26LGerard Campana Lee#435Challenger Seville · Q12:6 3:6
- 01/09/26LPedro Martinez#124Challenger Como · R321:6 0:3
- 11/08/26LDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Todi · R320:6 3:6
- 10/08/26WMaximilian Homberg#908Challenger Todi · Q26:1 6:1
- 09/08/26WGabriele Maria Noce#750Challenger Todi · Q16:1 4:6 7:6
- 04/08/26LPetr Brunclik#494Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R324:6 4:6
- 07/06/26LManuel Mazza#656Challenger Cattolica · Q17:6 0:6 1:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Reco | L. Carboni | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 3–260% | 7–847% |
| Clay | 0–10% | 11–1542% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Alexandre Reco
- 08/11/26WGabi Adrian Boitan#473Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q16:4 7:5
Lorenzo Carboni
- 08/11/26WLeo Raquillet#702Challenger Hersonissos 3 · Q15:7 6:1 6:3
Upcoming matches
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama
- August Holmgren vs Christopher O'Connell, · Challenger Brisbane 3
- Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal, · Challenger Hersonissos 3
- Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta, · Challenger Hersonissos 3