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Challenger Hersonissos 3Challenger 50Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Boitan vs Reco: prediction and tips

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Gabi Adrian BoitanATP #468Elo 1525hard 1513
-:-awaiting result
Alexandre RecoATP #811Elo 1540hard 1544

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: Boitan65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Boitan: 6 matches in a row winning the first set

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.535%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Boitan: 3 matches in a row going the distance

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gabi Adrian Boitan71%
Alexandre Reco29%

Elo: G. Boitan 46% · A. Reco 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Boitan48%
2:1 G. Boitan22%
2:1 A. Reco13%
2:0 A. Reco17%

First set

Gabi Adrian Boitan65%
Alexandre Reco35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.575%25%71%
19.567%33%62%
20.559%42%54%
21.553%48%49%
22.546%54%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,720 matches

Games handicap

G. Boitan −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. BoitanTourA. Reco
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held77%76%76%
Breaks of serve20%24%21%
Aces per service game0.400.42
Double faults per game0.410.22
Sets with a tie-break11%0%
Tie-breaks won6/80/0
Wins in straight sets75%100%
Matches in the sample305

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

  • 11/10/26LLeo Raquillet#703Challenger Olbia · Q16:4 4:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26LVadym Ursu#414Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:3 6:7 1:6
  • 09/09/26LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Istanbul 3 · R167:6 3:6 2:6
  • 08/09/26WAlex Hernandez#469Challenger Istanbul 3 · R327:6 6:4
  • 07/09/26WErgi Kirkin#572Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 06/09/26WZiya Ayberk AydinChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:1 6:0
  • 01/09/26LMark Lajal#167Challenger Manacor · Q24:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26WLui Maxted#428Challenger Manacor · Q16:1 6:1
  • 25/08/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#191Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 3:6 3:6
  • 20/08/26LLui Maxted#428Challenger Roehampton · QF5:7 4:6

Alexandre Reco

  • 29/09/26LRemy Bertola#222Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R324:6 3:6
  • 28/09/26WPatrick Zahraj#540Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q27:5 6:3
  • 27/09/26WJustin Boulais#439Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
  • 14/06/26LFranco Ribero#683Challenger Royan · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
  • 08/03/26LAntoine Ghibaudo#492Challenger Cherbourg-en-Cotentin · Q13:6 2:6
  • 20/10/24LGeoffrey Blancaneaux#443Challenger Brest · Q11:6 4:6
  • 02/10/24LHarold Mayot#220Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · R323:6 3:6
  • 30/09/24WAlessandro Pecci#736Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · Q26:2 6:4
  • 29/09/24WHazem Naw#965Challenger Mouilleron-Le-Captif · Q16:3 4:6 6:3
  • 09/09/24LNikoloz Basilashvili#87Challenger Rennes · Q21:6 6:4 2:6

Elo over the last year

Gabi Adrian BoitanAlexandre Reco

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. BoitanA. Reco
Hard court8–947%2–250%
Clay4–931%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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