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Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Shiraishi vs Milic 1:2: result and our tips

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Hikaru ShiraishiATP #592Elo 1423hard 1419
1:2final6:1 6:7(5) 3:6
Ognjen MilicATP #392Elo 1485hard 1512

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Shiraishi 13 of 19, Milic 11 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Shiraishi 11 of 19, Milic 9 of 20 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hikaru Shiraishi42%
Ognjen Milic58%

Elo: H. Shiraishi 37% · O. Milic 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Shiraishi25%
2:1 H. Shiraishi17%
2:1 O. Milic21%
2:0 O. Milic37%

First set

Hikaru Shiraishi44%
Ognjen Milic56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 6,074 matches

Games handicap

O. Milic −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Hikaru ShiraishiOgnjen Milic
2Aces7
2Double faults6
66%First serves in58%
63%First-serve points won80%
59%Second-serve points won36%
4/8Break points converted4/15
11/15Service games held9/13
61%Service points won62%
38%Return points won39%
92Total points won88

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. ShiraishiTourO. Milic
Service points won62%62%60%
Return points won36%38%38%
Service games held76%76%74%
Breaks of serve23%24%26%
Aces per service game0.240.44
Double faults per game0.160.32
Sets with a tie-break14%14%
Tie-breaks won1/73/10
Wins in straight sets38%43%
Matches in the sample2030

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hikaru Shiraishi

  • 09/11/26WKosuke Ogura#766Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:3 3:6 6:3
  • 08/11/26WRiku TakahataChallenger Matsuyama · Q16:1 6:4
  • 06/10/26LRyan Seggerman#560Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:7 7:6 6:7
  • 28/09/26LAdam Walton#96Challenger Jingshan · Q12:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LJake Delaney#338Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 3:6 4:6
  • 13/04/26LRenta Tokuda#992Challenger Busan · Q22:6 3:6
  • 12/04/26WDong Ju Kim#748Challenger Busan · Q17:5 6:3
  • 09/02/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Brisbane 2 · R326:4 2:6 6:7
  • 03/02/26LBlake Ellis#393Challenger Brisbane · R326:7 6:7
  • 18/01/26LTim Handel#733Challenger Phan Thiet · Q16:3 3:6 4:6

Ognjen Milic

Elo over the last year

Hikaru ShiraishiOgnjen Milic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. ShiraishiO. Milic
Hard court8–1240%8–753%
Clay0–06–940%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Hikaru Shiraishi

Ognjen Milic

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches

See also