Noguchi vs Zhou: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: R. Noguchi 41% · Y. Zhou 59%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 22% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 70% | 30% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 53% | 47% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 47% | 53% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 40% | 60% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 37% |
Sample: 3,833 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Noguchi | Tour | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 72% | 76% | 81% |
| Breaks of serve | 30% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.58 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.23 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/19 | 14/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 75% | |
| Matches in the sample | 63 | 53 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rio Noguchi
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
- 27/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Seoul · R323:6 1:6
- 20/10/26LKasidit Samrej#375Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:2 1:6 6:7
- 05/10/26LAlexandre Muller#153ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 6:4 1:6
- 23/09/26LDalibor Svrcina#112ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WMasamichi Imamura#439ATP Hangzhou · Q16:1 6:4
- 18/09/26LPavel Kotov#167Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF1:6 6:7
- 16/09/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:3
- 14/09/26WKaichi Uchida#431Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 6:2 6:3
- 09/09/26LOmar Jasika#301Challenger Shanghai · R162:6 5:7
Yi Zhou
- 10/11/26WTakuya Kumasaka#668Challenger Matsuyama · R326:0 6:1
- 29/10/26LJake Delaney#338Challenger Ningbo · R166:2 4:6 4:6
- 27/10/26WElias Ymer#254Challenger Ningbo · R321:6 7:6 6:4
- 24/10/26LColeman Wong#84Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · SF6:7 3:6
- 23/10/26WAndre Ilagan#196Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · QF7:6 6:2
- 21/10/26WZhizhen Zhang#156Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:3 6:4
- 20/10/26WKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R326:1 6:3
- 11/10/26LHubert Hurkacz#30ATP Shanghai · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 09/10/26WLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Shanghai · R647:6 3:6 7:6
- 07/10/26WMattia Bellucci#62ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 3:6 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Noguchi | Y. Zhou | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–2258% | 20–1951% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 0–20% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 8–467% |
Head to head
R. Noguchi 1–1 Y. Zhou
- 06/06/25Winner: Y. Zhou5:7 2:6
- 28/05/25Winner: R. Noguchi6:4 6:4
Road through the tournament
Rio Noguchi
- 10/11/26WDaniel Michalski#315Challenger Matsuyama · R327:6 6:1
Yi Zhou
- 10/11/26WTakuya Kumasaka#668Challenger Matsuyama · R326:0 6:1
Upcoming matches
- Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh, · Challenger Knoxville
- Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet, · Challenger Orleans
- Braden Shick vs Andres Andrade, · Challenger Knoxville
- Jay Friend vs Naoya Honda, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Yu Hsiou Hsu vs Niels McDonald, · Challenger Matsuyama
- Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida, · Challenger Matsuyama