Skip to content
Challenger MatsuyamaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kumasaka vs Zhou 0:2: result and our tips

·

Takuya KumasakaATP #668Elo 1479hard 1480
0:2final0:6 1:6
Yi ZhouATP #279Elo 1715hard 1695

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kumasaka: 13 matches in a row under 24.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won68%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kumasaka: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Kumasaka: 5 matches in a row under 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Takuya Kumasaka23%
Yi Zhou77%

Elo: T. Kumasaka 22% · Y. Zhou 78%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Kumasaka13%
2:1 T. Kumasaka10%
2:1 Y. Zhou22%
2:0 Y. Zhou56%

First set

Takuya Kumasaka29%
Yi Zhou71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.579%21%79%
18.570%30%71%
19.562%39%62%
20.553%47%54%
21.546%54%49%
22.540%60%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,551 matches

Games handicap

Y. Zhou −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes31%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 13 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Takuya KumasakaYi Zhou
0Aces4
1Double faults2
61%First serves in57%
43%First-serve points won79%
28%Second-serve points won50%
1/2Break points converted6/14
0/6Service games held6/7
37%Service points won67%
33%Return points won63%
31Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. KumasakaTourY. Zhou
Service points won60%62%64%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held69%76%81%
Breaks of serve25%24%21%
Aces per service game0.290.58
Double faults per game0.210.23
Sets with a tie-break14%20%
Tie-breaks won5/814/24
Wins in straight sets92%74%
Matches in the sample2652

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Takuya Kumasaka

  • 09/11/26WLuca Staeheli#442Challenger Matsuyama · Q26:1 6:4
  • 08/11/26WYuta Tomida#773Challenger Matsuyama · Q16:3 6:3
  • 06/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#728Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q14:6 2:6
  • 30/08/26LJoshua Charlton#873Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q13:6 4:6
  • 12/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Astana · R164:6 1:6
  • 11/08/26WColin Sinclair#479Challenger Astana · R326:2 7:6
  • 04/08/26LAlexander Donski#515Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R325:7 4:6
  • 28/07/26LFlorent Bax#292Challenger Samsun · R326:7 3:6
  • 21/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#198Challenger Segovia · R326:3 1:6 2:6
  • 20/07/26WSergio Callejon Hernando#489Challenger Segovia · Q26:3 7:6

Yi Zhou

Elo over the last year

Takuya KumasakaYi Zhou

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. KumasakaY. Zhou
Hard court12–1544%19–1950%
Clay0–00–20%
Grass0–08–467%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Takuya Kumasaka

Yi Zhou

First match in this tournament.

Upcoming matches

See also