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Challenger LimaChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Roncadelli vs Gomez 2:0: result and our tips

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Franco RoncadelliATP #258Elo 1631clay 1643
2:0final6:2 6:3
Juan Sebastian GomezATP #578Elo 1437clay 1465

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gomez: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Franco Roncadelli90%
Juan Sebastian Gomez10%

Elo: F. Roncadelli 74% · J. Gomez 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Roncadelli72%
2:1 F. Roncadelli17%
2:1 J. Gomez6%
2:0 J. Gomez5%

First set

Franco Roncadelli83%
Juan Sebastian Gomez17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 59%market (no margin): 53%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.578%22%96%
15.568%32%91%
16.558%42%84%
17.549%51%76%
18.541%59%68%
19.535%66%59%
20.530%70%52%

Sample: 1,464 matches

Games handicap

F. Roncadelli −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes10%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Franco RoncadelliJuan Sebastian Gomez
1Aces0
0Double faults1
83%First serves in81%
59%First-serve points won47%
60%Second-serve points won38%
5/5Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held3/8
59%Service points won45%
55%Return points won41%
58Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. RoncadelliTourJ. Gomez
Service points won58%62%57%
Return points won44%38%42%
Service games held67%76%68%
Breaks of serve37%24%30%
Aces per service game0.080.22
Double faults per game0.120.39
Sets with a tie-break11%7%
Tie-breaks won7/150/3
Wins in straight sets53%44%
Matches in the sample6118

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Franco Roncadelli

Juan Sebastian Gomez

Elo over the last year

Franco RoncadelliJuan Sebastian Gomez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. RoncadelliJ. Gomez
Hard court0–10%0–20%
Clay34–2558%9–756%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Franco Roncadelli

Juan Sebastian Gomez

Upcoming matches