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Challenger Costa do SauipeChallenger 175Round of 16claybest of three sets

Seyboth Wild vs Roncadelli 2:0: result and our tips

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Thiago Seyboth WildATP #110Elo 1879clay 1891
2:0final6:1 7:6(5)
Franco RoncadelliATP #261Elo 1632clay 1644

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost66%

Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 66%

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Seyboth Wild 13 of 20, Roncadelli 8 of 20 (tour average 41%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 19.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 38% → with the players' profiles 34%

Roncadelli: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Thiago Seyboth Wild92%
Franco Roncadelli8%

Elo: T. Seyboth Wild 81% · F. Roncadelli 20%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Seyboth Wild76%
2:1 T. Seyboth Wild15%
2:1 F. Roncadelli5%
2:0 F. Roncadelli4%

First set

Thiago Seyboth Wild86%
Franco Roncadelli14%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes20%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 58%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.582%18%96%
15.570%30%91%
16.559%41%84%
17.550%50%76%
18.542%58%68%
19.534%66%59%
20.529%71%52%

Sample: 1,367 matches

Games handicap

T. Seyboth Wild −6.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes12%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Thiago Seyboth WildFranco Roncadelli
2Aces0
4Double faults1
47%First serves in79%
79%First-serve points won55%
63%Second-serve points won40%
4/11Break points converted1/1
8/9Service games held6/10
71%Service points won52%
48%Return points won29%
82Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. Seyboth WildTourF. Roncadelli
Service points won67%62%58%
Return points won40%38%44%
Service games held84%76%66%
Breaks of serve30%24%38%
Aces per service game0.530.08
Double faults per game0.200.12
Sets with a tie-break12%10%
Tie-breaks won9/167/14
Wins in straight sets81%52%
Matches in the sample6159

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Franco Roncadelli

Elo over the last year

Thiago Seyboth WildFranco Roncadelli

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. Seyboth WildF. Roncadelli
Hard court2–340%0–10%
Clay41–1573%33–2458%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Franco Roncadelli

Upcoming matches

See also